Tottenham Hotspur vs Qarabag predictions for this game in the Europa League. Tottenham Hotspur return to European action as they host Azeri champions Qarabag FK in the Europa League on Thursday in North London. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Europa League | League Stage | Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
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Tottenham Hotspur vs FK Qarabag Predictions
Can Spurs Dominate Their Europa League Opener Against Qarabag?
- Tottenham’s Offensive Prowess: Spurs have averaged 17.2 shots per game in the Premier League this season, indicating a high volume of attacking play. This attacking intensity is expected to overwhelm Qarabag’s defence, especially given the visitors’ tendency to concede under pressure.
- Qarabag’s Struggles Against English Sides: The Azerbaijani champions have lost all six of their previous encounters against English clubs. This poor record suggests that they may once again find the step up in competition too challenging to manage effectively.
- Spurs’ Defensive Resilience Against Weaker Opponents: Tottenham have demonstrated their ability to keep clean sheets against lesser sides, with an average of 54.6 balls recovered and 21 tackles per game. This defensive solidity should negate Qarabag’s attacking threat, leading to a comfortable win for the hosts.
Our Tips
Reasoning | |
Reasoning |
Tottenham Hotspur will host Qarabag FK in their opening Europa League fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Thursday. The North London side, under the guidance of Ange Postecoglou, are looking to kickstart their European campaign with a commanding performance. The matchup against the Azerbaijani champions provides an opportunity for Spurs to reassert their strength on the continental stage after a somewhat lacklustre start to their domestic season.
Having been eliminated from the Champions League last season, Spurs enter the Europa League with a point to prove. Despite their early season struggles, they have shown glimpses of their attacking prowess, particularly in their recent 3-1 victory over Brentford. Postecoglou will likely rotate his squad with the upcoming Premier League clash against Manchester United in mind, but he will still be expecting a dominant display to set the tone for their European campaign.
For Qarabag, the task is daunting. Although they have made strides in European competitions recently, they have yet to secure a win against English opposition. The visitors will be aiming to defy the odds, but history and quality are stacked against them as they travel to London. Their recent domestic form has been solid, but the step up in competition could expose their limitations.
Best Bet: Tottenham -2 Handicap
Backing Tottenham to win with a -2 handicap appears to be the standout bet for this match. Despite anticipated squad rotation, Spurs should have the firepower and depth to overwhelm their opponents. The North London side have shown flashes of attacking brilliance in recent matches, and this Europa League fixture is an opportunity to flex their muscles against a less formidable opponent.
Tottenham’s attacking stats bolster this prediction. They have averaged 17.2 shots per game in the Premier League, with 7 of those on target. The attacking intent is evident, with a high frequency of big chances created—3.4 per game. Qarabag, while defensively solid in their domestic league, have not faced an offensive unit of Spurs’ calibre. Their average of 0.5 goals conceded per game in the Premyer Liqasi will be severely tested against a Tottenham side that, even with changes, can be potent in front of goal.
Spurs’ key players in this fixture, such as Dominic Solanke, who has recently joined from Bournemouth, will be eager to make an impact. The forward line, likely to be spearheaded by Solanke, will face a Qarabag defence missing Kevin Medina due to suspension. This could further weaken a backline already under immense pressure. Tottenham’s propensity to dominate possession—63.8% on average—means they should be able to pin Qarabag back and create ample opportunities.
Another factor in favour of a comfortable Spurs victory is their defensive solidity against less challenging opposition. While they have struggled against the Premier League’s elite, they have shown they can shut out weaker teams. With 54.6 balls recovered per game and 21 tackles per game, their defence should be able to stifle Qarabag’s attacking efforts, allowing Spurs to keep a clean sheet while scoring multiple goals at the other end.
As our BettingTips4You.com expert Steve Harrington summarises: “Even with rotation, Spurs have more than enough quality to see off Qarabag comfortably. A -2 handicap covers the scenario of a commanding win, which is very likely given the disparity in quality.”
Correct Score Prediction: Tottenham 4-0 Qarabag
Considering Tottenham’s attacking capabilities and Qarabag’s struggles against superior opposition, a 4-0 victory for the hosts seems plausible. This scoreline aligns with the best bet, covering the -2 handicap comfortably and reflecting the expected gulf in class between the two sides.
Tottenham’s firepower, even with a rotated squad, should prove too much for Qarabag to handle. Players like Brennan Johnson, who has shown promise in his recent outings, will be keen to exploit the opportunity against a defensively stretched Qarabag. The Azerbaijani side have conceded three goals in three matches in their league, and against a much stronger Spurs side, their defence could crumble under sustained pressure.
Moreover, Qarabag’s record against English teams is far from encouraging, having lost all six of their previous encounters. While they may attempt to sit deep and absorb pressure, their limitations in defensive organisation and experience at this level are likely to be exposed. A high-scoring win for Tottenham is therefore the most probable outcome, as the hosts aim to send a statement of intent in their opening European fixture.
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