Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar predictions ahead of this Europa League last-16 clash. Tottenham must overturn a first-leg deficit against AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League on Thursday to keep their silverware hopes alive this season. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Europa League | Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar Predictions


Can Spurs Overcome Their First-Leg Setback to Reach the Quarter-Finals?
- Tottenham’s Home Scoring Streak Continues
- Spurs have scored in their last 29 Europa League home games, a record in the competition, underlining their attacking consistency at home.
- AZ’s Poor Record in England a Major Concern
- The Dutch side have lost all nine of their previous European away games in England, the worst 100% losing streak by any club in European history.
- Both Teams Have Been Conceding Regularly
- Tottenham have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last six Europa League matches, while AZ have seen both teams score in six of their last eight games in the competition.
Best Bet for Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar
Manchester United to win and under 3.5 goals | |
11/8 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning United’s strong European form at home, coupled with Sociedad’s recent struggles on the road, makes this a game where the hosts should come out on top. However, given the history of low-scoring matches between these sides, a cagey affair with under 3.5 goals is the best bet. |
Tottenham Hotspur face a defining moment in their season as they welcome AZ Alkmaar to North London for the second leg of their Europa League tie. Trailing 1-0 from the first meeting in the Netherlands, Spurs know they must produce a big performance if they are to keep their European hopes alive and avoid another trophyless campaign.
A freak own goal from Lucas Bergvall proved the difference in the first leg, a game in which AZ were the better side for large periods. However, history suggests Tottenham will be a different beast at home, particularly given their strong record at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in this competition. Ange Postecoglou’s men have won four of their last five home matches against Dutch opposition, and with the backing of a passionate home crowd, they will fancy their chances of overturning the deficit.
Defensive fragility remains a concern, though. Spurs were vulnerable at the back against Bournemouth at the weekend, conceding twice before a late fightback salvaged a point. AZ, despite their poor record in England, arrive well-rested after postponing their domestic fixture at the weekend, and they have already shown they are more than capable of making life difficult for the Premier League side. With a place in the quarter-finals at stake, this one has all the makings of a high-stakes thriller.
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Best Bet for Tottenham vs AZ Alkmaar
At BettingTips4You, we don’t flood you with multiple predictions for a single game—we focus on quality over quantity. After deep analysis of this clash, we have identified the best possible bet: Both Teams to Score.
Why Both Teams Will Find the Net
Tottenham have been prolific at home in this competition, finding the net in each of their last 29 Europa League home matches. That kind of consistency in front of goal makes it almost inevitable that they will score here, especially as they need to overturn a deficit. Son Heung-Min, Brennan Johnson, and James Maddison should have plenty of opportunities to test AZ’s backline, and with Dominic Solanke leading the line, the hosts have the firepower to trouble the Dutch side throughout.
However, Spurs’ defensive issues remain a major concern. Even with Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven back in the fold, Postecoglou’s side have not been solid at the back. Bournemouth could have been 3-0 up before Tottenham rallied for a 2-2 draw at the weekend, and against an AZ side that scored six times across two legs against Galatasaray, it would be no surprise to see them concede again.
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AZ, despite their struggles on English soil, are not short of attacking threats. Troy Parrott will be desperate to score against his former club, while Vangelis Pavlidis has the ability to exploit any defensive lapses from the home side. The visitors may have injury concerns, but they have proven their attacking quality time and time again this season.
AZ’s recent form also suggests they will have chances to score. They have found the net in six of their last eight Europa League matches, including both legs against Galatasaray in the previous round. Meanwhile, Tottenham have conceded in four of their last six European outings, highlighting their vulnerability.
Even though Spurs are favourites to progress, it would be a major surprise if they kept a clean sheet given the nature of their recent performances. This match is likely to be an open, attacking affair, with both teams creating opportunities, making Both Teams to Score the standout bet for this clash.
“Tottenham’s defensive fragility and AZ’s attacking approach make this a game that should produce goals at both ends. While Spurs should find the net, expecting them to shut out AZ seems ambitious given their recent form.”
— BettingTips4You.com expert Gram Dodd
Predicted Scoreline: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
Spurs have been strong at home in Europe, and while AZ will pose a threat, the urgency of the situation should see Tottenham produce a commanding performance. The hosts should get the goals they need to progress, but another defensive lapse could allow the Dutch side a consolation. A 3-1 win for Spurs looks a likely outcome, with Postecoglou’s men advancing to the quarter-finals.
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