Stuttgart vs Hamburg Predictions

Stuttgart vs Hamburg predictions for this Thursday’s German Bundesliga playoff. Who will prevail in this tie and secure a place in the top flight football next season? Continue reading to see all of our free predictions and betting tips for this game.

Stuttgart vs Hamburg
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Stuttgart vs Hamburg Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Stuttgart vs. Hamburger: A Tale of Survival and Ascendancy

Key Stats
– Stuttgart have lost just two of their last ten games in all competitions.
– Both teams have found the net in Stuttgart’s last nine matches.
– Hamburg’s last nine matches have seen an impressive total of 39 goals.

The Mercedes-Benz Arena in Stuttgart will be buzzing with anticipation as the home side, Stuttgart, prepares to take on Hamburger SV in the first leg of the Bundesliga relegation playoff. As Stuttgart fights for their Bundesliga survival, Hamburger SV yearns for a top-tier return after a five-year hiatus. This clash will define their paths moving forward – Stuttgart’s survival in the Bundesliga hangs in the balance while Hamburger SV is on the brink of a much-desired promotion.

Stuttgart’s Fight Against Relegation

Despite a resilient finish to the regular season, where Stuttgart managed five points in their last three games, their Bundesliga status remains uncertain. The team’s fortunes seemed to be turning with a 1-1 home draw against Bayer Leverkusen followed by an emphatic 4-1 triumph over Mainz 05. However, a subsequent 1-1 draw against relegation rivals Hoffenheim left Stuttgart hanging precariously in the 16th spot, just one point away from safety.


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Sebastian Hoeness’s arrival at Stuttgart in early April has sparked a fighting spirit within the team, steering them towards three wins and four draws in nine matches. The Bundesliga has a rich history of the top-tier clubs retaining their status in 18 of the last 24 seasons – a statistic that brings optimism to Stuttgart ahead of the playoff.

Hamburger SV’s Push for Promotion

Hamburger SV, on the other hand, barely missed out on automatic promotion, leading them to the playoffs for a second successive year. The side ended the regular 2.Bundesliga season with the best away record but is well aware of their shaky past performances at Stuttgart, having lost nine of their last 13 visits. Their recent 1-0 victory over Sandhausen suggests a resurgence that could be problematic for Stuttgart.

The visitors have a resilient squad despite missing key players due to injury and suspension. Their formidable attacking capabilities, led by key players like Bakery Jatta and Ludovit Reis, who return from one-match suspensions, bring an exciting dynamic to the impending match.

Diving Deeper: Tiago Tomas – The Game Changer

In a game of this magnitude, individual performances can often be the difference between success and failure. For Stuttgart, Tiago Tomas has the potential to be that difference-maker. Despite playing just 48 minutes per game on average, Tomas’ goal-scoring prowess has been remarkable, with 3 goals in 27 appearances. He’s managed to find the back of the net every 431 minutes on average, a commendable feat considering his limited game time. 

Beyond his goal-scoring ability, Tomas also stands out for his creative instincts. His assist tally of three, along with seven big chances created, is a testament to his ability to influence games even when he’s not scoring. Considering his knack for turning up in crucial moments, and having cancelled out Hoffenheim’s lead in their last game, we predict that Tomas is likely to score anytime during the forthcoming game. His presence and attacking instincts could prove pivotal for Stuttgart as they look to secure their Bundesliga status.

Stuttgart To Make The Most Of Home Advantage

Analysing the teams’ form and statistics further, we believe a 3-1 victory for Stuttgart is the most probable outcome in the correct score market. Stuttgart have shown impressive resilience in recent times, losing just two of their last ten games in all competitions. Despite their precarious position in the Bundesliga, they’ve demonstrated their ability to compete against top-tier opposition, having scored 45 goals throughout the season. 

Moreover, Stuttgart’s matches have been high scoring affairs, with both teams finding the net in their last nine matches. This suggests a likelihood of goals from both sides. Hamburg, though boasting a strong offensive record with 70 goals, have also let in 45. Their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by Stuttgart, particularly when one considers the mental blow Hamburg suffered after missing out on automatic promotion.

Adding to this, Stuttgart’s three-year Bundesliga experience could give them a slight edge over Hamburg, who’ve been out of the top flight for five years. The home advantage further tilts the balance in Stuttgart’s favour, as does the fact that they’ve managed to rally despite their early season struggles, ending the season with a commendable five points from their final three games.

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!