Southampton vs Chelsea predictions for this Premier League fixture. Chelsea are favourites against struggling Southampton, who sit 20 points behind and are winless in three. Chelsea’s unbeaten five-match run highlights their strong form heading into this clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Premier League | Dec 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK at St. Marys Stadium
Southampton vs Chelsea Predictions
Will Chelsea Dominate the Struggling Saints or Face an Unexpected Challenge?
Best Odds Boost for this Match | |
- Chelsea’s Away Goals Dominance: With 14 goals scored in their away fixtures this season, Chelsea boast the best attacking record on the road in the Premier League. Their clinical edge is unmatched away from Stamford Bridge.
- Southampton’s Defensive Woes: The Saints have conceded 25 goals in just 13 games, marking one of the worst defensive starts in Premier League history. Their frailties at the back could be decisive in this clash.
- Nicolas Jackson’s Scoring Streak: The Chelsea forward has netted four goals in his last five Premier League appearances, highlighting his importance as a reliable finisher in key matches.
Our Tips
Draw | |
13/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning A draw between Club Brugge and Sporting Lisbon is predicted, with Brugge’s strong defence countered by Sporting’s attacking threat through Gyökeres, resulting in a balanced and cautious encounter. | |
Draw 1-1 | |
6/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning A 1-1 draw is predicted, with Sporting’s Gyökeres and Brugge’s Vanaken likely to contribute goals in a balanced contest, reflecting both teams’ strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. |
Chelsea’s visit to St. Mary’s Stadium on Wednesday promises to be an intriguing encounter. On paper, this fixture seems to be a straightforward battle between two teams at opposite ends of the Premier League spectrum. Southampton, languishing at the bottom with only five points from 13 matches, are enduring one of the worst starts to a season in Premier League history. Meanwhile, Chelsea, revitalised under Enzo Maresca, are sitting comfortably in third place, just a point behind Arsenal and with their sights set on consolidating their Champions League aspirations.
While Southampton’s form has been dismal, recent matches have hinted at a flicker of resilience. Against Brighton, they snatched an away point under controversial circumstances, and they gave Liverpool a genuine scare in a 3-2 loss. However, defensive frailties remain their Achilles’ heel, conceding 25 goals so far this season. Chelsea, in contrast, arrive with confidence sky-high, buoyed by a dominant 3-0 victory over Aston Villa. The Blues have been efficient and lethal, particularly away from home, where they’ve won four of their last six outings. Yet, football is rarely predictable, and Southampton’s desperation might add an unexpected twist.
Best Bet: Chelsea to Win and Both Teams to Score
The recommendation for this fixture is to back Chelsea to win while both teams find the net. This prediction stems from Southampton’s recent trend of scoring in four of their last five matches, including against stronger opposition like Liverpool. Their attack has shown occasional sparks, but their defence remains porous, which should leave ample opportunities for Chelsea’s forwards to exploit.
Chelsea’s own form makes a compelling case for their superiority. Nicolas Jackson, in particular, has been in sublime touch, netting four times in his last five Premier League appearances. The Blues’ recent performances against Leicester, Heidenheim, and Aston Villa underline their dominance, with eight goals scored across those games. Their tally of 14 goals in away matches this season—the highest in the league—is a testament to their attacking efficiency on the road. This combination of firepower and Southampton’s defensive instability makes Chelsea heavy favourites.
However, Southampton’s ability to surprise should not be overlooked. They pushed Brighton to the brink and even managed two goals against Liverpool, showcasing a refusal to roll over. Manager Russell Martin may be clutching at straws, but his team’s resilience in certain moments offers a glimmer of hope for a consolation goal.
“Southampton might make a fist of it, but Chelsea’s superior quality and form should see them through,” says Gram Dodd, our BettingTips4You.com expert. “The Saints’ attack has shown signs of life, but their defence looks destined to falter against a clinical Blues side.”
Correct Score Prediction: Chelsea to Win 3-1
The best bet naturally aligns with the correct score prediction. Chelsea’s attacking prowess suggests they will dominate the game, while Southampton’s sporadic attacking displays indicate they could breach the Blues’ defence at least once. A 3-1 victory for Chelsea seems realistic, as the visitors are likely to create numerous chances against Southampton’s leaky back line.
Southampton’s home form hardly inspires confidence, having lost four of their six matches at St. Mary’s this season. Chelsea, on the other hand, have proven themselves adept at handling away fixtures, with only one loss on the road. Jackson’s sharpness in front of goal, combined with the creativity of Cole Palmer and Enzo Fernandez, should be more than enough to secure a comfortable victory, even if the Saints manage a consolation goal.
The Blues’ defensive focus has occasionally wavered, as seen in matches against teams with nothing to lose. Southampton, backed by a desperate home crowd, could exploit this, but it’s unlikely to affect the final outcome. Chelsea are simply too well-drilled and too clinical for the Saints to pull off a major upset.
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