Sao Paulo vs Santos Predictions

Sao Paulo vs Santos predictions for Sunday’s Brazilian Serie A derby action. Santos have been struggling on the road, will they improve today? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Sao Paulo vs Santos Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Sao Paulo vs Santos: A Clash of Rivals with Unpredictable Twists

Key Stats
– Sao Paulo have won four out of their last five matches, with four clean sheets.
– Santos have lost four of their last six away games, failing to score in their last three.
– Sao Paulo boast an impressive record at Morumbi, winning six of their seven home league matches this term.

The Campeonato Brasileiro, or Brazilian Championship, witnesses a colossal showdown between state rivals Sao Paulo and Santos. The battleground for this classic encounter is the iconic Morumbi Stadium, where Sao Paulo, the home team, flaunts an outstanding record of six victories in their seven league games thus far. As the teams gear up for the clash, Sao Paulo sit comfortably at the eighth position in Serie A standings, while Santos remains dangerously close to the relegation zone.

The Rising Sao Paulo

Under the leadership of coach Dorival Junior, the Tricolor, as Sao Paulo is popularly known, have seen a significant upswing over the past three months. The team’s impressive performance against Abel Ferreira’s side at Allianz Park led to a ticket to the Copa do Brasil semi-finals. This victory, on the back of brilliant strikes from Caio Paulista and substitute David, augmented their recent qualification for the Copa Sudamericana’s last 16.


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However, Sao Paulo’s inconsistent form in the Brasileiro has been a cause for concern. Despite being just four points behind second-placed Flamengo, they are a considerable 14 points adrift from the league leaders Botafogo. The inconsistency is a direct result of their contrasting home and away performances. The club has managed to glean a mere four points from seven away fixtures this year, marking one of the worst records in the Brazilian top flight.

The narrative at home, though, is quite different. Sao Paulo have only lost once at Morumbi this season and have won all other six matches, conceding just six goals. This resilient defence could potentially pose a challenge for Santos in the upcoming game.

Santos’ Struggle

Meanwhile, Santos, the visitor, continues to struggle with one of the weakest attacking records in the Brasileiro. Until their recent seven-goal thriller against Goias, Santos could muster only 11 league goals. The game witnessed a turning point as Marcos Leonardo and Colombian striker Stiven Mendoza both scored twice.

Despite this, Santos’s position remains precarious, primarily due to an abysmal away record. The team has lost four of its six away games this season, scoring a mere two goals. Their last visit to Morumbi, a Campeonato Paulista match, ended in a 3-1 defeat. The team’s managerial turmoil, marked by the replacement of former boss Odair Hellmann with Paulo Turra, continues to plague the team’s performance.


With a thorough understanding of both teams’ current form and capabilities, let’s make three predictions for the upcoming match.

Home Advantage and Stellar Form: Sao Paulo to Win to Nil

Given Sao Paulo’s outstanding home record, the first prediction is that the Tricolor will emerge victorious against Santos. The team’s defensive solidity at Morumbi, combined with Santos’s struggles on the road, justifies this choice. Although a fairly challenging bet, the odds for a Sao Paulo win to nil are quite appealing considering how shaky the visitors have been when it comes to the attacking department. 

Tight Battle: 2-0 Correct Scoreline

Considering Sao Paulo’s impressive defensive form and Santos’s lack of firepower on the road, a 2-0 victory for the home team seems plausible. Sao Paulo’s recent form, with four wins in their last five games and four clean sheets, also supports this prediction.

Striker on Fire: Jonathan Calleri to Score

Our third prediction centers around the scoring prowess of the Argentine striker Jonathan Calleri. There’s a strong case to believe that Calleri will find the back of the net in this much-anticipated matchup.

Firstly, it’s essential to consider Calleri’s current form and performance data. The forward has bagged four goals in his 11 appearances for Sao Paulo thus far, demonstrating a solid scoring rate. Even more impressively, three of these goals were in the last five games, signalling a return to form and a sharpened eye for the goal, especially since he just recovered from injury.

Secondly, an examination of Calleri’s playing style and on-pitch characteristics strengthens this prediction. The 29-year-old forward is known for his exceptional positional awareness, clinical finishing, and an uncanny ability to exploit spaces in the opponent’s defensive line. With Sao Paulo’s current attacking strategy, Calleri will likely be fed several scoring opportunities.

Lastly, we cannot overlook the weakness in Santos’ defence. The visitors have conceded plenty of goals on the road, and they have a particular vulnerability against powerful and intelligent forwards like Calleri. The combination of Calleri’s recent form and Santos’ shaky defence makes a compelling case for a Calleri goal in the upcoming clash.

£20 Returns £80


£10 Returns £65

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!