Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao predictions for Sunday’s La Liga clash. Bilbao have a chance to secure European football if they beat Real in the league which will be the first time since 2015. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao
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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

A Battle for Positions: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao’s High-Stakes Finale in La Liga

Key Stats
– Real Madrid’s impressive home record: 43 points from 18 matches, losing only once.
– Athletic Bilbao’s struggling form: 5 losses in their last 7 league games.
– Karim Benzema’s scoring prowess: 18 goals in just 23 games, with a scoring frequency of 109 minutes per goal.

On Sunday evening, the renowned Santiago Bernabéu Stadium will witness a crucial La Liga contest. Positioned second in the division, Real Madrid are set to lock horns with Athletic Bilbao, a team ambitious to rank among the top seven. Although the coveted La Liga title is out of reach, securing the runner-up position is crucial for Los Blancos. On the other side, Athletic, standing at the eighth position on par with Osasuna, will be striving to earn a place in the Europa Conference League.

The Madrid Conundrum

Despite an impressive trophy haul in the previous season, Real Madrid’s current campaign has been marked by disappointment. With an 11-point gap separating them from the champions Barcelona, Los Blancos’ hopes of securing the La Liga title have been dashed. Carlo Ancelotti’s squad has been engaged in a fierce battle for the second spot against Atletico Madrid. However, a win in the upcoming match against Athletic could solidify their position, providing Atletico doesn’t trump Villarreal.


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Real Madrid’s performances at their home ground have been commendable this season. With an impressive record of accumulating 43 points from 18 matches and just a single loss, the team’s form suggests a positive outcome in the forthcoming game. However, their away form, marked by seven defeats, has proven to be a hindrance to their title pursuit.

The Athletic Bilbao Conundrum

Athletic Bilbao have its ambitions set for the season’s closing weekend. Despite losing five out of their last seven league games, they still stand a chance to qualify for the playoff round of the 2023-24 Europa Conference League. Their current standing, however, is a testament to their struggles. With the team being on level points with Osasuna, their chances of finishing seventh are contingent on their performance against Real Madrid.

Despite the odds being against them, given their record of six consecutive league losses against Real Madrid, and no league victories against the Madrid side since 2015, Athletic will enter the match with hopes of reversing the pattern.

The Decisive Players

The news of Karim Benzema possibly departing for Saudi Arabia this summer has caused a stir. Nevertheless, the Frenchman, despite a foot injury, is expected to be back on the field for Real Madrid, potentially for the last time. His contribution has been significant, with a striking record of 18 goals in 23 La Liga matches this season.

With the return of Vinicius Junior from a knee injury, the attack force of Madrid is set to be formidable. However, there are concerns about the fitness of Mariano Diaz and Marco Asensio, who might be on their way out of the club this summer. Coach Ancelotti is anticipated to make changes to the starting lineup with the return of Dani Carvajal, Eduardo Camavinga, and Antonio Rudiger.

On the Athletic side, the team is likely to face the impact of the absence of key players like Ander Herrera, Dani Garcia, Inigo Martinez, Jon Morcillo, and Yeray Alvarez due to injury. However, the return of Nico Williams should bolster the team’s confidence.

The Predictions: Benzema to Shine, Madrid to Prevail

As for the individual performances, Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema stands out. Despite recent speculations over his future, the French forward seems set to overcome a foot injury and might feature in the game against Bilbao. His presence on the pitch could be game-changing. Benzema has consistently demonstrated his scoring prowess, having netted 18 goals in just 23 games in La Liga this season. His scoring frequency stands at a remarkable 109 minutes per goal. Moreover, his expected goals (xG) are even higher at 20.60, suggesting that his contribution could be even greater.

Given the above, our predictions are twofold. Firstly, we foresee Karim Benzema scoring 2 or more in the upcoming clash. Given his track record, this doesn’t seem far-fetched. Secondly, our analysis points towards a potential correct score of 3-2 in favor of Real Madrid. This prediction takes into account Madrid’s strong home record and superior goal-scoring ability, as well as Bilbao’s struggling form and defensive lapses. However, it also factors in that both teams have a compelling reason to chase a win, which could lead to a high-scoring game.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!