Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid predictions for their Monday night affair in La Liga. Can Rayo follow up their 2-0 win against Granada with a success against Atletico? Or will history repeat itself? Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

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Rajo Vallecano
Match Live Monday, 28th August at 8:30 pm In:
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Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Predictions


£20 Returns £81

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change


Rayo’s Resilience vs Atletico’s Ambition: A La Liga Showdown

Key Stats
– Rayo Vallecano are yet to drop points this season with two victories from two.
– Atletico Madrid have an impressive unbeaten streak against Rayo dating back to February 2013.
– Both teams have showcased their goal-scoring capabilities, with Rayo netting four and Atletico three in their respective opening matches.

The world of La Liga is set to witness an intriguing clash on Monday evening, as Atletico Madrid set their sights on halting the formidable start of Rayo Vallecano in Spain’s premier footballing competition.

A Fresh Start under Francisco

Rayo Vallecano’s impressive start, amassing six points from their first two games, is somewhat surprising given the managerial shake-up over the summer. Andoni Iraola’s departure to Bournemouth left a gap that Francisco has admirably filled, marking a perfect record with two victories. Kicking off the 2023-24 season with a 2-0 win over Almeria, Rayo replicated the score against Granada, thanks to crucial goals by Alvaro Garcia and Pathe Ciss. These results, combined with their standings from previous seasons, lead to speculations of a potential European quest this season.


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The summer has also been buzzing with recruitment for the capital side. Their transfer activity, marked by eight new signings, saw Jorge de Frutos emerge as the most significant acquisition, joining from Levante.

Atletico’s Balancing Act

In contrast, Atletico Madrid entered this fixture following a stalemate against Real Betis, coming after their 3-1 triumph over Granada. The 2022-23 season was a tale of two halves for Diego Simeone’s men. While they struggled initially, a stronger performance in the latter half benefited from a European absence. They concluded the season in third, a mere point behind Real Madrid but considerably distant from champions Barcelona. With the current vulnerability of the top two, questions arise on whether the Red and Whites can disrupt the hierarchy.

This summer, Simeone’s squad witnessed considerable reshuffling, with five incoming players. The transfer window’s looming end casts doubts on Joao Felix’s future at the club, although he’s expected to remain sidelined for this fixture. Historically, Atletico have dominated their encounters with Rayo, maintaining an unbeaten streak since February 2013. Their most recent face-off in the 2022-23 campaign saw Atletico emerge victorious with a 2-1 scoreline.

Team News & Formations

Rayo’s preparations have a minor hiccup with Andres Martin nursing a muscular issue. Yet, the potential integration of recent signing, De Frutos, into the starting eleven could mean a reshuffle with Oscar Trejo possibly making way. While changes loom with Ciss and Raul de Tomas waiting in the wings, Francisco might favour the team that has started the season on a high.

Atletico’s lineup has its challenges. Notable absentees include Reinildo, Jose Gimenez, Koke, and Angel Correa. Potential replacements are in discussion, especially with Yannick Carrasco’s availability in doubt. This could pave the way for Samuel Lino, while Memphis Depay is likely to retain his role, partnering with Antoine Griezmann upfront.

Predictions and Analysis

1. Outcome Prediction: Both Teams to Score

When delving into recent performances, a compelling case emerges for expecting both teams to find the net. Rayo Vallecano are undoubtedly in commendable form, with two wins from their opening encounters, and have maintained a tidy defensive record, not conceding in either of their matches. Yet, history reveals that they’ve grappled against Atletico Madrid, losing 10 of their last 12 clashes.

Atletico, on the other hand, aren’t strangers to letting in a goal or two. While their defensive prowess is renowned, a statistic reveals that they have conceded in seven of their last eight league victories. That suggests that even when they secure the win, keeping a clean sheet hasn’t been guaranteed. Taking into account Rayo’s recent buoyant form and Atletico’s track record, it’s conceivable that both teams will register on the scoreline.

2. Scoreline Prediction: 2-1 in favour of Atletico Madrid

Historical data provides a rich context for this prediction. Atletico Madrid, in their previous encounters, clinched a 2-1 victory when the two teams met during the 2022-23 campaign. This suggests a competitive encounter, but with Atletico having the edge.

Further, Atletico’s recent form offers additional clues. They started the current season with a 3-1 triumph over Granada before being held to a goalless draw by Real Betis. This paints a picture of a side that can find the net but can also be stifled. Rayo’s defensive statistics, although impressive in the short term, may not hold firm against a side of Atletico’s calibre. A tight match with Atletico edging it seems to be on the cards.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Antoine Griezmann

Antoine Griezmann stands out as a key player to watch. He has consistently been a talisman for Atletico Madrid and has the ability to change the complexion of a match with a singular moment of brilliance.

Notably, Griezmann is no stranger to high-pressure games and, given his vast experience, can be trusted to handle the weight of expectation. In a fixture as crucial as this, where the margins could be slender, players like Griezmann often step up to make the difference. The French forward’s position in Atletico’s possible starting lineup against Rayo Vallecano, paired alongside Memphis Depay, provides a lethal attacking duo. Given Rayo’s defensive record, and the significant challenges Atletico pose going forward, Griezmann seems primed to get on the scoresheet.


£20 Returns £81

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!