Italy vs Scotland Predictions

Italy vs Scotland predictions for this Six Nations clash. In the 2024 Six Nations’ penultimate round, Italy, showing improvement, faces title contenders Scotland at Stadio Olimpico on Saturday afternoon. Read on for all our free Six Nations predictions and betting tips.


Six Nations | Group Stage: – Mar 9, 2024 at 2.15pm UK at Stadio Olimpico di Roma

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Italy vs Scotland Predictions

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A Clash of Titans and Underdogs: Italy vs. Scotland’s Six Nations Showdown

Key Stats

– Italy seeks to end a record 26 consecutive home defeats in the Six Nations, showcasing their underdog spirit.
– Scotland’s Duhan Van der Merwe leads the try-scoring charts, highlighting their attacking threat.
– The last eight matches between these two have resulted in Scottish victories, indicating a dominance Italy aims to challenge.

As the penultimate round of the 2024 Six Nations approaches, the fixture between Italy and Scotland at Stadio Olimpico stands out as a potential thriller. Italy, displaying significant improvement, aims to challenge Scotland, a team firmly in contention for the championship title. This match is not just a clash of strategies and skills but a testament to Italy’s growing prowess and Scotland’s resilience and ambition.

Italy: The Underdogs with a Fighting Spirit

Italy’s journey in the Six Nations so far has been a narrative of narrow misses and growing promise. Their performance against France was nothing short of remarkable, coming back from a 10-point deficit to level the scores, only to be denied victory by a last-minute penalty miss. This match highlighted not just their potential but their spirit, as they’ve consistently shown against top-tier opponents like England.


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The inclusion of Louis Lynagh, a debutant with considerable expectations, and the return of Sebastian Negri, reinforces Italy’s intent to leverage their dynamic backline and formidable forward pack. Under Gonzalo Quesada’s guidance, Italy has showcased a blend of resilience and tactical acumen, evident in their draws and narrow defeats, signalling a team on the brink of a breakthrough.

Scotland: The Pursuit of Championship Glory

Scotland’s journey has been marked by critical victories and a contentious defeat, underscoring their tenacity and skill. Their triumph over England, powered by Duhan Van der Merwe’s hat-trick, exemplifies their attacking prowess and strategic depth. However, their loss to France, marred by a late TMO decision, serves as a reminder of the thin margins defining elite competition.

Gregor Townsend’s strategic alterations, including Cameron Redpath’s inclusion and the strategic reshuffling in the back row, indicate Scotland’s adaptability and depth. Their defensive cohesion and opportunistic attack make them formidable contenders, capable of challenging any team in the Six Nations.

Tactical Analysis and Key Battles

The match is expected to be a showcase of Italy’s burgeoning talent against Scotland’s seasoned campaigners. Italy’s back-three, comprising Ange Capuozzo, Monty Ioane, and Lynagh, is anticipated to be a source of creativity and tries, capitalising on Scotland’s occasional disciplinary lapses. Conversely, Scotland’s midfield duo, Redpath and Huw Jones, alongside the lethal Van der Merwe, pose significant threats through their ability to exploit gaps and finish clinical attacks.


Given the teams’ current form and historical performance, this match promises to be closely contested. Considering the improving Italian side against a consistently performing Scottish team, a prediction in the Winner with Handicap Market favours Italy to cover the 11-point handicap. Italy’s recent performances, particularly against France and England, combined with Scotland’s vulnerability to penalties and sin-bins, bolster the case for Italy to outperform expectations, making them a compelling choice with the handicap.

For the Tryscorer Prediction, Ange Capuozzo stands out as a prime candidate. His pivotal try against France and his dynamic return to form suggest he will be a critical figure for Italy, making him a likely tryscorer in this matchup. His speed, agility, and knack for being in the right place at the right time enhance his prospects of crossing the whitewash against Scotland.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.