Burnley vs Aston Villa Predictions

Burnley vs Aston Villa predictions for Sunday’s Premier League clash at Turf Moor. Burnley, who didn’t play last weekend, are back in action and will attempt to stop a Villa side who are coming on the back of two wins. Read on for all our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

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Match Live Sunday, 27th August at 2:00 pm In:

Burnley vs Aston Villa Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Seagulls’ Surge vs Hammers’ Hope: A Premier League Duel

Key Stats
– Burnley netted an impressive 49 goals in 23 Championship home matches last season.
– Aston Villa boast nine goals in their last two fixtures.
– Aston Villa played two more games than Burnley in the recent fixture schedule.

After a sterling midweek European performance, Aston Villa, one of the Premier League’s shining stars, are gearing up to clash with Burnley, who recently rejoined the Premier League, at Turf Moor this Saturday.

Burnley, under Vincent Kompany’s guidance, made an impressive mark in the Championship last season. Notably, they became the fourth team in the history of the second tier to reach the 100-point milestone. Yet, their dreamy ascent was halted with a 3-0 loss to reigning champions Manchester City in their Premier League debut.

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Burnley hoped to regroup against Luton Town, but unforeseen stadium upgrades postponed the encounter. This unexpected hiatus might be the breather Burnley needs, especially with Aston Villa’s prolific scoring spree looming.

The Villans’ Resurgence Despite an unexpected 5-1 stumble against Newcastle United at the season’s outset, Unai Emery’s Villans have been on a tear. A 4-0 thrashing of Everton and a 5-0 win against Hibernian in the Europa Conference League are indicative of their menacing form. The spotlight was on Ollie Watkins, who bagged a hat-trick against Hibernian, nearly guaranteeing Villa’s progression in the competition.

In our earlier predictions, Burnley seemed poised for a survival tussle this season. The importance of Turf Moor as a fortress was emphasised, especially given the calibre of their initial opponents. Their last Premier League stint was a tough one, which saw them unable to secure a win in the first nine games. History isn’t in their favour either; of their five Premier League home matches against Villa in this century, they’ve managed a sole victory.

Villa, on the other hand, are keen to break a five-game away win drought. Emery’s stellar record against Burnley (three wins) and his commendable 57% win rate with the Villans bode well for the visitors.

Team News: The Line-ups Burnley, aside from Michael Obafemi’s absence due to a thigh injury, boasts a fully fit squad. Meanwhile, Villa will miss key players like Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey, and Philippe Coutinho, to name a few.

Burnley’s Top Players Burnley’s standout players include James Trafford with a BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.40, followed closely by forward Zeki Amdouni and defender Jordan Beyer.

Aston Villa’s Formidable Arsenal In the Europa Conference League, Ollie Watkins leads with a staggering rating of 9.40, while Lucas Digne and Leon Bailey trail with 8.70 and 7.90, respectively.


1. A Goals Galore Matchup: Both Teams to Score

One of the standout statistics when analysing both sides is their attacking prowess. While Burnley had a disappointing start in the Premier League, their record from the Championship can’t be ignored. Scoring a remarkable 49 goals in 23 Championship home games last season, the Clarets have demonstrated their ability to find the back of the net on home turf. Moreover, their encounter with Manchester City, the reigning champions, was understandably challenging. But with the confidence from their Championship campaign and the advantage of playing at Turf Moor, Burnley are more than capable of piercing Villa’s defence.

On the flip side, Aston Villa have been in a scintillating form in front of goal, particularly in their recent games. Having hit nine goals across their last two matches, it’s clear that Unai Emery’s side have found their rhythm. Even if one accounts for potential fatigue from their midweek European fixture, their frontline, especially with Ollie Watkins in such blistering form, poses a significant threat.

When combining Burnley’s home scoring record with Villa’s current goal-scoring spree, it’s hard to imagine a match where both teams don’t find the net.

2. Correct Score: Burnley 1 – 2 Aston Villa

In a contest where both sides are expected to score, predicting the exact score can be a meticulous task. Burnley’s home advantage and their history of scoring at Turf Moor leans towards them getting at least a goal. However, Villa’s form, combined with their manager Emery’s historical success against Burnley, indicates a more robust performance from the away side.

Given Burnley’s fighting spirit and Villa’s current form, a 2-1 victory in favour of Aston Villa seems a plausible outcome. It acknowledges both Burnley’s strength at home and Aston Villa’s superior form and attacking prowess.

3. Goal Scorer: Ollie Watkins

The man of the moment, Ollie Watkins, has been nothing short of sensational recently. His hat-trick against Hibernian in the UEFA Europa Conference League emphatically showcased his goal-scoring abilities. With a BettingTips4You rating of 9.40 in that competition, Watkins stands out as Villa’s top performer.

Given his current form and the role he plays as Villa’s attacking spearhead, it seems highly probable he will be involved in the goals once again. Burnley, despite their strengths, will have their hands full dealing with him. Considering his recent performances and the spaces that might open up against a Burnley side pushing for a positive result at home, betting on Watkins to find the back of the net is a well-grounded prediction.

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.