Brighton vs Manchester United Predictions

Brighton vs Manchester United predictions for this Premier League clash. Manchester United conclude an underwhelming 2023-24 Premier League season against Brighton & Hove Albion at the Amex Stadium on Sunday. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Brighton
Man Utd

Premier League | Gameweek 38 – May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK at The Amex Stadium

Football Tips 48

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Brighton vs Manchester United Predictions

Key Stats

– Brighton have won their last four Premier League games against Manchester United.

– Manchester United are winless in their last five away league games, losing three.

– Joao Pedro has scored 20 goals across all competitions this season.

Goals Galore Expected as Brighton Host Manchester United in Season Finale

As the curtain falls on the 2023-24 Premier League season, Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United are set to clash at the Amex Stadium. Both teams have had their fair share of struggles, with Brighton aiming to avoid dropping into the bottom half of the table, while Manchester United are clinging to a slim hope of European qualification. This analysis delves into the performances, strategies, and key duels that could decide the outcome, culminating in detailed predictions based on the provided data.

Brighton & Hove Albion’s Season Overview

Brighton began the season with high hopes following their impressive sixth-place finish last year. However, the Seagulls have faced significant challenges, including the departure of key players and a slew of injuries. Their form has taken a hit, managing just three wins in their last 15 matches across all competitions. Their scoring issues are particularly concerning, with the team failing to score more than once in their last 12 Premier League games and drawing blanks on seven occasions.

Despite these struggles, Brighton have shown resilience in recent fixtures. A 1-0 victory over Aston Villa and a 1-1 draw at Newcastle provided some solace, though a 2-1 defeat to Chelsea highlighted their continued inconsistencies. Brighton’s defensive woes are also notable, having conceded 60 goals this season, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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Manchester United’s Season Overview

For Manchester United, the season has been tumultuous, marked by managerial uncertainty and inconsistent performances. Erik ten Hag’s side find themselves in danger of recording their lowest league finish and points tally in 34 years. United have lost a club-record 14 league games and accumulated just 57 points. Their away form has been particularly poor, failing to win any of their last five league games on the road.

United’s defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, conceding 58 goals this season. Despite this, they have managed to score 55 goals, with Bruno Fernandes leading the way with 10 goals. The Red Devils’ recent 3-2 victory over Newcastle at Old Trafford provided a glimmer of hope, but their overall inconsistency remains a concern.

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Expected Lineups and Tactical Insights

Brighton’s Potential Lineup: Verbruggen; Lamptey, Webster, Igor, Barco; Gilmour, Gross; Buonanotte, Pedro, Adingra; Welbeck

Brighton are likely to field a lineup affected by numerous injuries. Lewis Dunk, Solly March, and Kaoru Mitoma are notable absentees, forcing De Zerbi to make several adjustments. Joel Veltman’s potential absence means Tariq Lamptey could continue at right-back, while Joao Pedro, with 20 goals across all competitions, will spearhead the attack alongside Danny Welbeck.

Manchester United’s Potential Lineup: Onana; Wan-Bissaka, Casemiro, Evans, Dalot; Amrabat, Mainoo; Diallo, Fernandes, Garnacho; Hojlund

For United, injuries have also dictated lineup changes. Luke Shaw, Harry Maguire, and Tyrell Malacia are all sidelined, pushing Casemiro into a defensive role. Rasmus Hojlund is expected to return to the starting XI, with Bruno Fernandes shifting back to his preferred number 10 position.

Key Battles and Tactical Matchups

Midfield Control: The midfield battle between Billy Gilmour and Casemiro will be pivotal. Gilmour’s passing accuracy and ability to control the tempo will be essential for Brighton, while Casemiro’s defensive prowess and distribution from deep will be crucial for United.

Attacking Threats: Brighton’s attack will rely heavily on Joao Pedro and Danny Welbeck. Pedro’s goal-scoring form and Welbeck’s experience will test United’s makeshift defence. On the other hand, United’s forward line, led by Rasmus Hojlund and supported by Bruno Fernandes and Alejandro Garnacho, will look to exploit Brighton’s defensive lapses.

Defensive Solidity: Both teams have struggled defensively this season, making the performance of their backlines crucial. Brighton’s Igor Julio and Adam Webster must be resolute against United’s attackers, while United’s defence, marshalled by the experienced Jonny Evans, will need to remain compact and disciplined.

Gameplay Prediction

The game is expected to be an open and high-scoring affair, given the defensive frailties of both teams. Brighton will aim to control possession and build attacks patiently, utilising the creativity of Pascal Gross and the goal-scoring ability of Joao Pedro. United, on the other hand, will look to leverage their speed on the counter, with Garnacho and Diallo providing width and Hojlund aiming to capitalise on any defensive errors.

Improvements and Criticisms

Brighton: Brighton need to address their injury crisis and strengthen their squad depth. Their reliance on a few key players has been their undoing this season. De Zerbi’s tactics have often lacked flexibility, which has made it easier for opponents to counter their game plan.

Manchester United: United’s inconsistency has been their Achilles’ heel. Ten Hag’s tactical decisions have sometimes been questionable, particularly his use of players out of their natural positions. Strengthening their defence should be a priority in the transfer window to avoid similar issues next season.

Betting Angles and Predictions

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Best Bet: Draw and Both Teams to Score

This prediction is founded on the defensive frailties and attacking capabilities of both Brighton and Manchester United. Brighton have struggled defensively throughout the season, conceding 60 goals, which averages to 1.6 goals per game. Their inability to keep clean sheets, coupled with their home advantage, makes it likely they will find the back of the net. Joao Pedro, with his impressive goal-scoring record, is expected to be a key player in breaking through United’s defence.

On the other hand, Manchester United have also been defensively vulnerable, conceding 58 goals this season. Their away form has been particularly poor, with no wins in their last five league games on the road. Despite this, they have managed to score 55 goals this season, showing they have the attacking prowess to challenge Brighton’s defence. Players like Bruno Fernandes and Rasmus Hojlund will be crucial in this aspect. Therefore, considering both teams’ tendencies to concede and their ability to score, a draw with both teams finding the net is a strong prediction.

Correct Score Prediction: Brighton 2-2 Manchester United

Given the attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses of both teams, a 2-2 draw appears to be a likely outcome. Brighton’s home form has seen them score frequently, even if their results haven’t always been favourable. Joao Pedro, who has netted 20 goals across all competitions, will be pivotal in ensuring Brighton scores at least a couple of goals. Their possession-based approach and ability to create chances will put United’s defence under constant pressure.

Manchester United, despite their defensive issues, have a potent attack led by Bruno Fernandes and Rasmus Hojlund. Fernandes’ ability to create and score, combined with Hojlund’s finishing, makes it highly probable that United will also score multiple goals. Considering both teams’ form and defensive records, a high-scoring draw is a reasonable prediction, reflecting their respective strengths and weaknesses.

Goalscorer Prediction: Joao Pedro to Score

Joao Pedro has been Brighton’s standout player this season, scoring 20 goals in all competitions. His form and ability to find the net make him a strong candidate to score against Manchester United. Pedro’s movement, positioning, and finishing have been exemplary, and he has been a consistent threat in the final third. Against a United defence that has conceded 58 goals this season, Pedro’s chances of scoring are significantly high.

Pedro’s role as the focal point of Brighton’s attack ensures he will get opportunities, especially given United’s defensive lapses. His confidence in front of goal and his ability to capitalise on even the slightest defensive errors make him a prime candidate to score. Therefore, predicting Joao Pedro to score against Manchester United is well-supported by his form and the opposition’s defensive record.

Corner Prediction: Brighton to Get More Corners

Brighton’s style of play typically results in a high number of corners, averaging 5.4 per game. Their possession-based approach and emphasis on wide play often lead to numerous corner opportunities. With Manchester United likely to adopt a more defensive stance, especially given their away struggles, Brighton are expected to dominate possession and create more chances, leading to more corners.

Manchester United, while capable of winning corners themselves, average fewer per game compared to Brighton. Their defensive vulnerabilities mean they are likely to concede several corners as they try to repel Brighton’s attacks. Considering Brighton’s attacking strategy and Manchester United’s defensive setup, Brighton are expected to win more corners in this match. A total of around 10 combined corners for both teams seems reasonable, with Brighton having the majority.

Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target for Manchester United Over 5.5

Manchester United have averaged 5.1 shots on target per game this season. Facing a Brighton defence that has been inconsistent, United are likely to generate numerous shooting opportunities. Brighton have conceded 60 goals this season, indicating defensive frailties that United’s attackers can exploit. With players like Bruno Fernandes and Rasmus Hojlund capable of testing the goalkeeper frequently, United should exceed their season average in this match.

Furthermore, Brighton’s style of play often leaves them exposed at the back, providing United with more chances to shoot on target. Considering Manchester United’s attacking intent and Brighton’s defensive issues, betting on United to have over 5.5 shots on target is a solid proposition. This prediction is supported by the statistical averages and the expected dynamics of the game, where United’s attackers will be eager to capitalise on Brighton’s defensive lapses.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.