US Open Men’s Final Betting Tips: Two Best Bets for Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic

Free tennis tips, best bets and analysis for US Open US Open Men’s Final at Flushing Meadows in New York on Sunday. Following 13 rigorous tennis days, we’ve reached the final showdown. Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev meet again in the US Open final, echoing 2021 when Medvedev clinched his inaugural Grand Slam by defeating Djokovic in straight sets. Find below the best bets of the Final at Flashing Meadows, provided by our tennis guru, John Pentin, who has already tipped correctly Coco Gauff’s win at the US Open.

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US Open Men’s Final


The US Open Men’s Final: A Clash of Titans

Key Stats
– Medvedev has claimed victory in 5 of his 14 encounters with Djokovic.
– Djokovic has only faced one top-30 player en route to this year’s US Open final.
– In their head-to-head, Djokovic and Medvedev have historically utilised 76% of the available sets.

The US Open men’s final isn’t always predictable, and this year’s edition is no exception. While many might have anticipated a different match-up, the challenge Novak Djokovic faces in his quest for a 24th Grand Slam title against Daniil Medvedev, the man who ousted Carlos Alcaraz in the semis, promises to be far from straightforward.

The recent on-court battles between Alcaraz and Djokovic led many to believe that another titanic tussle was imminent. However, Medvedev, being the hard-court maestro that he is, had other plans, setting up an intriguing final showdown against the Serbian legend.

Medvedev’s Mettle

Medvedev’s semi-final dominance against Alcaraz was a testament to his hard-court expertise. The determination he exhibited from the beginning had Alcaraz reeling. The Russian’s serving statistics were noteworthy; he secured 82% of points on his first serve and successfully defended eight of the nine break points he encountered.

One can’t overlook the mental edge Medvedev possesses either. Heading into this Flushing Meadows final, he’s already experienced the euphoria of Grand Slam victory at the same venue, having defeated Djokovic 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 just two years prior. While Djokovic’s Grand Slam tally is monumental, their head-to-head isn’t too skewed in the Serb’s favour. Medvedev has clinched five victories in their 14 face-offs and has been increasingly resilient in recent clashes.

Djokovic’s Journey

However, discounting Djokovic would be folly. While he’s the clear favourite, his path to the final has been less than formidable. Remarkably, he’s only faced one player from the world’s top 30, Taylor Fritz, whom he’s historically dominated. Djokovic’s earlier scare in the tournament, when he trailed by two sets against Laslo Djere, further illustrates that this final is far from a foregone conclusion.

The Final Analysis

Given the recent form, betting markets, and historic data, it’s crucial to delve deeper for an insight-driven prediction. Although Djokovic has displayed more dominance at this US Open than Medvedev, their contrasting routes to the final are noteworthy. Djokovic had a relatively smooth journey, while Medvedev faced higher calibre opponents. This difference in journey intensity might affect their respective forms coming into the final.

Looking at their head-to-head stats, Djokovic and Medvedev tend to finish their matches swiftly, often using 76% of the available sets. This suggests that their final could end in the minimum number of sets. Furthermore, given Medvedev’s current form and his past performance against Djokovic, backing him to win in straight sets (3-0) appears to be a plausible call.


1. Match Duration: A Swift Finish?

While many Grand Slam finals witness marathon matches, the previous encounters between Djokovic and Medvedev suggest that this final could be an exception. Historically, these two players tend to be swift in wrapping up their games, frequently taking just the minimum required sets to decide a winner.

This observation is grounded in the stat that, head-to-head, Djokovic and Medvedev have used 76% of the available sets. The data is stark: out of their 14 matches, eight have concluded in the minimum number of sets. Furthermore, two of these straight-setters occurred this very year and, notably, on hard courts – the very surface of the US Open. Thus, the prediction for the final to be a Three Sets @ game isn’t a whimsical guess but one rooted in a solid historical precedent.

2. Medvedev’s Dominance: A Clean Sweep?

Medvedev’s journey to the US Open final this year has been nothing short of remarkable. While Djokovic’s route to the final was relatively straightforward, Medvedev faced and overcame top-tier opponents. Such a challenging path has likely prepared him mentally and physically for the final challenge. This hypothesis gains more weight when we consider Medvedev’s recent form, especially his dominant semi-final performance against Alcaraz, and his past record against Djokovic at the US Open.

It was just two years ago when Medvedev silenced the Serb in straight sets in the very same competition. Given the current circumstances and the Russian’s evident confidence, predicting Medvedev to win 3-0 isn’t far-fetched. It’s a reflection of Medvedev’s prowess on the hard court and his resilience in crucial matches.

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at