Tennis betting tips: Wimbledon Day 10 betting tips, outright preview and best bets for Wednesday July 10

Steve Harrington previews day 10 action at Wimbledon. Read on for a complete analysis of the key matches for Wednesday 10th July and discover the best bet of the day, along with three additional selections to form a four-pick accumulator. Don’t miss out on the top offers and prices selected by our experts to maximise your tennis betting value.

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Wimbledon Day Ten Betting Tips

Wimbledon is well into its second week, with both the men’s and women’s draws reaching the crucial quarter-final stages. Today’s matches promise high drama and intense competition as players vie for a place in the semi-finals. Notable encounters include Novak Djokovic versus Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz against Lorenzo Musetti, Elena Rybakina facing Elina Svitolina, and Jelena Ostapenko taking on Barbora Krejcikova. Let’s delve into these intriguing match-ups and assess the potential outcomes.

Key Matches Preview and Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz

Lorenzo Musetti has shown impressive form on grass this season, entering this match with an 11-2 win-loss record. His performances at Queen’s Club and Stuttgart underline his growing confidence on this surface. Musetti’s adaptability and resilience will be key as he faces Taylor Fritz, whose serve has been dominant throughout the tournament. Fritz, ranked within the top 20, narrowly escaped defeat in the last round against Alex Zverev, coming from two sets down. This suggests potential vulnerability.

Fritz’s serve remains his primary weapon, having only been broken twice in four matches. However, his return game has been less effective, with a break percentage of just 12% on grass this year. Musetti’s ability to win 65% of his second-serve points could exploit this weakness. Additionally, Musetti recently faced another big server, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, and handled him with relative ease. This match promises to be a closely contested battle, likely featuring tiebreaks.

Alex de Minaur vs Novak Djokovic

Alex de Minaur faces an uphill battle against the formidable Novak Djokovic. De Minaur showed signs of a possible hip issue in his last match, which could hinder his performance. His game relies heavily on his speed and court coverage, both crucial against a player of Djokovic’s calibre. Djokovic, aiming for his eighth Wimbledon title, looked in ominous form during his straight-sets win over Holger Rune.

Despite De Minaur’s potential crowd support due to his relationship with British number one Katie Boulter, it is unlikely to faze Djokovic. The Serb’s experience and tactical acumen should see him through comfortably.

Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina’s remarkable journey continues, having previously defeated the top seed, Iga Swiatek, at this stage last year. Known for her defensive prowess, Svitolina will challenge the tournament favourite, Elena Rybakina. Rybakina has been in stellar form, stating that the conditions at Wimbledon suit her game perfectly, especially with the roof closed.

Despite Svitolina’s tenacity, Rybakina’s aggressive style and recent form give her the edge. A safer betting angle might involve serve markets, particularly double faults. Historically, Svitolina has struggled with Rybakina’s return game, often resulting in double faults.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Barbora Krejcikova

Jelena Ostapenko enters this match as the favourite, having reached this stage of Wimbledon twice before. She leads the head-to-head against Barbora Krejcikova, including a win on grass. Krejcikova, though capable, might find it challenging against Ostapenko’s aggressive play. Followers of outright bets will be hoping for an Ostapenko win to secure a profitable outcome.

Ostapenko’s inconsistency is her main challenge, but if she maintains her current form, she should advance.

Predictions and Rationale for Day 10 At Wimbledon – Wednesday

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Best Bet of the Day: Taylor Fritz to Win 3-1

Taylor Fritz’s formidable serve and impressive current form make him a strong candidate to advance past Lorenzo Musetti in their quarter-final encounter. Fritz has demonstrated remarkable consistency and resilience throughout the tournament, especially notable in his comeback from two sets down against Alexander Zverev. This performance showcased not only his physical stamina but also his mental fortitude, essential qualities for a deep run in a Grand Slam.

Musetti, however, has also been in fine form, adapting well to grass this season with a commendable 11-2 win-loss record. His recent performances, including a final appearance at Queen’s Club and a semi-final showing in Stuttgart, indicate a player growing in confidence and capability on this surface. Musetti’s ability to handle big servers, as seen in his comfortable victory over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, suggests he will pose a significant challenge to Fritz.

Despite Musetti’s notable adaptability and resilience, Fritz’s powerful serve is expected to dominate. Fritz’s serve has been broken only twice in his four matches so far, underscoring its effectiveness. However, his return game has been less consistent, breaking serve only 12% of the time on grass this year. This could allow Musetti to secure a set, given his capability to win 65% of his second-serve points during the tournament.

Therefore, predicting Fritz to win 3-1 offers substantial value. This scoreline acknowledges Fritz’s superior serving while accounting for Musetti’s ability to snatch a set through his solid all-round game. At 12/5, this bet balances the likely dominance of Fritz with the realistic chance of Musetti making a significant impact.

Other Predictions

Novak Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets

Novak Djokovic, the seven-time Wimbledon champion, is in excellent form as he approaches his quarter-final clash with Alex de Minaur. Djokovic’s performance in the tournament thus far has been nothing short of exceptional, particularly his straight-sets victory over Holger Rune in the previous round. This match demonstrated Djokovic’s unyielding serve and tactical prowess, elements that will be crucial against De Minaur.

De Minaur, despite his admirable resilience and speed on the court, faces a daunting task. His recent match against Arthur Fils raised concerns about a potential hip injury, which could impair his renowned mobility and speed—key components of his game. Even if De Minaur is fully fit, overcoming Djokovic’s defensive capabilities and relentless baseline play will be an enormous challenge.

Given Djokovic’s experience and current form, it is likely he will control the match from the outset. His ability to maintain high levels of concentration and consistency under pressure makes him the overwhelming favourite. Backing Djokovic to win in straight sets at 39/20 is a solid bet, as it reflects his dominance and De Minaur’s potential physical limitations.

Elena Rybakina to Win 2-1

Elena Rybakina, the defending Wimbledon champion, is in superb form heading into her quarter-final against Elina Svitolina. Rybakina’s aggressive baseline game and powerful serve have been instrumental in her success so far. Her recent performances, combined with favourable playing conditions when the roof is closed, make her the favourite to progress.

Svitolina, known for her defensive skills and mental toughness, has had a remarkable run. Her ability to retrieve and extend rallies will test Rybakina’s patience and consistency. Svitolina’s track record of defeating top players, including her victory over Iga Swiatek at this stage last year, underscores her potential to push Rybakina to the limit.

However, Rybakina’s attacking prowess and experience on the grass courts of Wimbledon give her the edge. While Svitolina is likely to win a set through her defensive tenacity, Rybakina’s ability to dominate on serve and dictate play from the baseline should see her through. Predicting Rybakina to win 2-1 at 11/4 reflects a closely contested match with Rybakina’s overall superiority prevailing.

Jelena Ostapenko to Win with a -3.5 Games Handicap

Jelena Ostapenko enters her quarter-final match against Barbora Krejcikova as the favourite, backed by her recent form and head-to-head advantage. Ostapenko’s aggressive playstyle and powerful groundstrokes have seen her through to this stage without dropping a set, showcasing her ability to dominate opponents.

Krejcikova, while a formidable competitor with a Grand Slam title to her name, has struggled against Ostapenko in their previous encounters. Ostapenko leads the head-to-head 5-2, including a win on grass, which is a significant psychological advantage. Krejcikova’s game, while solid, may not have the firepower to consistently trouble Ostapenko.

Considering Ostapenko’s current form and previous successes against Krejcikova, betting on Ostapenko to win with a -3.5 games handicap at 4/5 is a prudent choice. This bet accounts for Ostapenko’s ability to win comfortably, potentially avoiding any late-match nerves or lapses in concentration. It reflects her dominance and the likelihood of her securing a straightforward victory to advance to the semi-finals.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.