Mexico Open Betting Tips

The PGA Tour is over the border this week in Mexico, and our golf expert John Pentin has provided a full preview and his best bet for this tournament. Make sure to also check the betting offers that we have selected for this event to maximise the betting value.


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Mexico Open Betting

Mexico Open Betting Tips | Thursday 27th April to Sunday 30th April 2023

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£20 returns £420

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Main Bet: Patrick Rodgers To Win

It has been a sensational season so far for Jon Rahm who has secured three wins under his belt over just five starts. His Master success earlier this month and he has also followed that up with a tied 15th at Hilton Head. With only one week break, the 28-year-old is now back to defend the title he won last year and it is not surprising to see that he is the top favourite in the betting market. 

Rahm’s Performance Breakdown

Rahm’s success here was attributed to his impressive driving and all-around solid play. His Strokes Gaines numbers were amazing but Driving Distance was also a top factor to his success as Rahm ranked 1st and eight of the top 10 ranked 13th or better in this metric. We could well say that the par 71 Norman Signature Course at Vidanta Vallarta is a ‘bomber’s paradise’, with its 7,456-yard length and minimal protective rough. 

Paspalum Grass and Other Clues

The course also has Paspalum grass, which is the same one used in the Worldwide Technology Championship in Mexico, and this is something that has surely been suitable to Rahm. Despite his impressive track record, however, Rahm’s price is far too short and to get some value we would better look elsewhere. 

Patrick Rodgers: A Potential Challenger

My main pick for this week is Patrick Rodgers, who is currently 33rd in Driving Distance and can do well here. The Californian, who has recently turned 30, has had a very consistent season so far with seven top-25 finishes this term. He was in the top 10 at two coastal tracks as he reached a third place in the Bermuda Championship and tied 10th in the RSM Classic.

Additionally Rodgers was also fifth in the Valero Texas Open, which is another Norman-designed course, and followed that performance with a tied 19th at the RBC Heritage. Last year he was 109th at Vidanta Vallarta, and entered the last day in 4th position.

He said that this golf course suits his game well, as it is long and allows to capitalise on the more accessible holes. His top-20 finishes at El Camaleon and a tied 27th in November also proves his affinity for Mexican courses. With Rahm and Tony Finau who are the only top-100 players taking part in this event, Rodgers has a golden chance to challenge for the title here.

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at