League One 2023/24 Outright Predictions with 5/1 Winners Prediction

Our BT4Y’s outright predictions season continues with our next EFL edition focused on the upcoming League One competition.

The potential for point deductions adds a layer of uncertainty to the relegation scenarios, rendering them hazy at best. Nonetheless, the race for the top of the table promises to be exciting, with Derby leading the pack as favourites, pursued by several other strong contenders.

Derby County

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Season Starts Saturday, 5th August at 3:00 pm In:

League One Outright Predictions




£10 Returns £240

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Unraveling the Enigma: A Comprehensive Analysis and Forecast of the League One 2023/24 Season

Key Stats
– Portsmouth wrapped up the previous season with an unbeaten streak of 11 matches.
– Barnsley are set for a pre-season spending spree, thanks to the windfall from sales and compensation.
– Bolton Wanderers, ending fifth in the 2022/23 season, are tipped to secure a top six position in the 2023/24 season.

The coming season of League One football promises a thrilling competition, as the battle lines are drawn and clubs brace themselves for a compelling run. The cloud of possible points deductions looms over a few teams, yet the exciting race to the title appears largely undeterred, at least for clubs like Portsmouth.

Portsmouth’s Resurgence

Portsmouth, popularly known as Pompey, have been a beacon of consistency, achieving six consecutive finishes in the top ten, with their latest venture landing them in eighth place. With a long-standing history in the Premier League, Pompey are fervently striving to reclaim its position at the higher echelons of English football.

The departure of high-quality teams like Ipswich and Sheffield Wednesday has further bolstered Portsmouth’s chances. In addition, the imposition of an eight-point deduction on Wigan and a potential six-point cut for Reading has given Portsmouth a unique advantage.

Their performance at the end of the 2022-23 season under the leadership of John Mousinho was remarkable. Despite initial scepticism surrounding Mousinho’s appointment, his strategy led the team to an 11-match unbeaten streak. If they could convert some of their seven draws into victories, they could have even secured a playoff spot.

Their off-season strategy has been aggressive, with a significant shopping spree led by sporting director Richard Hughes and Mousinho. This, coupled with a high-quality squad that boasts players like Marlon Pack, Joe Morrell, and the 20-goal scorer, Colby Bishop, sets a promising tone for the upcoming campaign.

Other Contenders

Barnsley, Bolton, Peterborough, and Derby, despite trailing the top three teams, have shown potential to stir up the competition for the top six positions. Reading could be potential challengers, yet a transfer embargo and looming points deductions make their situation precarious.

Charlton, finishing tenth last season, have made a significant signing with Alfie May from Cheltenham, while Barnsley, flush with funds from sales and compensation, seems poised for a pre-season spending spree.

Predicting the Outright: League One 2023/24 Forecast

With this backdrop, it’s time to make three bold predictions for the upcoming season.

Championship Frontrunners – Derby: With odds of 5/1 eachway, Derby County are a leading contender to secure the title of the League One champions for the upcoming season. The Rams finished seventh in the previous season with 76 points, only narrowly missing out on a top-six position.

Their late resurgence last season, combined with a solid team structure and tactical strategies, make them a powerful candidate for the title this time around. The addition of new talent, bolstered by their existing squad’s experience, could be the key to turning last year’s near-miss into this year’s triumph. This could be the season when Derby County finally rise to the challenge and proves they have what it takes to climb to the top of the League One hierarchy.




£10 Returns £240

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

The Promotion Winners – Barnsley: As in the previous prediction, Barnsley’s potential to gain promotion to the Championship remains a promising prospect. The team finished fourth last season with 86 points, demonstrating their ability to compete at the highest levels.

With the financial boost from recent player sales and compensations, they have the resources for a significant pre-season overhaul. Their new manager, Neill Collins, brings in fresh strategies and, coupled with the team’s ambition, Barnsley seems well-positioned for a promotion-winning season.

The Top Six Finale – Portsmouth: While Portsmouth are likely to fight for the top spot, I think a safer bet is to back them to finish in the top six. With six consecutive top-ten finishes, the team’s consistency is unquestionable. Last season, they remained unbeaten in their last 11 games, which indicates their resilience and ability to compete against the top teams in the league.

Their squad, with players like Marlon Pack, Joe Morrell, and top scorer Colby Bishop, is poised to give a tough competition to any opponent. A top-six finish, while falling short of a championship win, would still signify a successful season for Portsmouth, and could set them up for further success in the future.


£10 Returns £625

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.