It’s the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs and John Pentin has previewed the TPC Southwind and also suggested two best bets. Make sure also to make the most of the best bookies offers that are listed below to maximise the betting value.
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The FedEx St Jude Championship Betting Tips | Thursday 10th August to Sunday 13th August 2023
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Recommended Bet
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Main Bet: Sam Burns To Win
The New Look of the FedEx Cup Playoff
A Leaner Competitive Field
This year, the FedEx Cup Playoff opener boasts a more streamlined setup with the participant count being reduced from 125 to 70 players. This alteration marks the first event of the trio of tournaments set for the series. The revamped model sees the leading 50 from this week’s uninterrupted tournament marching forward to the BMW Championship. This prestigious event is nestled at Olympia Fields near Chicago. The journey culminates with the top 30 contenders vying for a colossal prize at the season’s climax, the Tour Championship, hosted at East Lake.
Historical Insights and Quizzes
While prominent golfers like Justin Thomas and Adam Scott didn’t make the cut, here’s an interesting piece of trivia: Who’s the only golfer to have consistently appeared in every edition of the Playoffs since its inception in 2007? The answer to this little quiz is none other than Matt Kuchar.
Spotlight on TPC Southwind
TPC Southwind, situated in Memphis, isn’t an unfamiliar battleground for the golfers. With a par score of 70 and spanning 7,223 yards, this course is distinct with its Zoysia fairways and more compact Bermuda greens. The weather forecast suggests a wet Wednesday, which will likely make the putting surfaces softer, and golfers might need to battle against potent 15mph winds come Thursday.
In last year’s event, Brian Harman, Lucas Glover, and Sepp Straka remarkably secured positions within the top four. At first glance, this seemed a bit out of the ordinary. But, retrospectively, it might have been a prelude to the outstanding performance expected from these often-underestimated golfers.
The Sam Burns Conundrum
Tommy Fleetwood, undoubtedly a splendid golfer and a genuine gentleman, stands at odds of 28/1 for a win this week. Interestingly, he’s yet to clinch a victory on the PGA Tour. In contrast, Sam Burns, with a price slightly higher at 35/1, has already celebrated five wins at this echelon since May 2021.
Burns, having tasted victory twice in both the 2021 and 2022 seasons, is eyeing another win to mark a hat-trick of two-win seasons. Such a feat would indeed be commendable. Remarkably, four of these five triumphant moments, including the conquest in May’s WGC Match Play, were on Bermuda greens – a terrain he’s up against this week. Burns seems to have a preference for this surface, evidenced by his recent 14th place at the Wyndham Championship. Here, over the weekend, he showcased rounds of 65-67 and was ranked fifth for Strokes Gained (SG): Putting on Sunday. This adds to his record, marking his fifth top 15 finish over the last six starts on Bermuda greens.
Reflecting on his performance at TPC Southwind, Burns was a whisker away from victory two years ago, securing the second position for SG: Putting. Although he shot impressive 64s in two of the rounds, he lost to Abraham Ancer from Mexico due to some minor lapses.
Given his previous performance at this venue and his recent form, including six top-20 finishes post his Matchplay win, Burns, at 33/1, appears undervalued. While his recent form might not match up to some of the renowned names, Burns’ potential breakout performance is on the horizon. And if past patterns are any indicators, his recent 14th place finish might be hinting at another victory.