ATP World Tour Finals Betting Tips

John Pentin brings you his player-by-player guide to the 2023 ATP Finals and selects his best bets for the action in Turin. Read on for all the tips and the analysis, and also make sure to take full advantage of the selected bookmaker offers handpicked for maximum betting value. 

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ATP World Tour Finals Betting Tips

ATP World Tour Finals Betting Tips | Outright Men’s Singles Tips

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A Preview of the ATP Finals in Turin

Turin’s Fast Courts Set the Stage

The ATP Finals, a culmination of the year’s tennis triumphs, returns to Turin’s Pala Alpitour for its third consecutive year. A notable takeaway since its relocation from London is the rapid pace of play, a characteristic attributed to the Greenset Grand Prix surface, Dunlop balls, and the slight altitude. Novak Djokovic has commented on the unique conditions, noting the impact of the altitude on play.

The Elite Eight Assemble

The tournament assembles the top eight players of the season, all arriving in peak condition despite the year’s rigours. They are divided into two groups, with the leading two from each advancing to the knockout semi-finals.

Analyzing the Contenders

Green Group
Novak Djokovic

The defending champion in Turin, Djokovic is eyeing a record seventh ATP Finals title. His 2023 performance has been stellar, marred only by a loss in the Wimbledon final. Despite limited play post-US Open, his Paris title win, achieved amidst illness, is a testament to his indomitable form. His affinity for indoor play and current fitness level make him the top contender.

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Jannik Sinner

Italy’s Sinner enters with momentum, claiming two recent titles. His game, powerful and mentally resilient, seems well-suited for the quick courts, though his record against group rivals (2-10) could be a concern.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Tsitsipas, the 2019 champion, hasn’t replicated that success recently. With a solitary top-10 win this season and a vulnerable backhand, he faces a steep challenge, despite a strong service game and recent semi-final appearances.

Holger Rune

Rune, who achieved a career-high fourth ranking, had a dip in form due to injury but showed promise in Paris. His record against Djokovic and group opponents suggests potential for a semi-final berth.

Red Group
Carlos Alcaraz

Alcaraz’s post-US Open performances haven’t been as stellar, with no indoor ATP final appearances to date. His remarkable talent keeps him in contention, but the conditions in Turin may not be ideal.

Daniil Medvedev

The 2021 finalist excels in fast conditions. However, his form since his last title in May is a question mark. His formidable serve and defensive play, if in sync, make him a significant threat.

Andrey Rublev

Rublev, with his recent form, including a Shanghai final and indoor semi-finals, can be a dark horse. His mental fortitude has improved, evident in his maiden Masters 1000 win and last year’s semi-final appearance.

Alex Zverev

The two-time champion, Zverev’s participation post-injury is commendable. His record against top players this year, however, indicates challenges ahead, despite his strong backhand and serve.

Predicting the Tournament’s Outcome

Djokovic: The Favourite

Djokovic’s recent winning streak, including titles in Cincinnati, the US Open, and Paris, positions him as the clear favourite. His performance, especially after his Wimbledon setback, showcases his resilience. Returning from a break, Djokovic seems refreshed and ready, a formidable force in the Green Group.

Rublev: The Dark Horse

Rublev, a semi-finalist last year, maintains his form with strong showings in Shanghai and Paris. While dethroning Djokovic seems a tall order, he possesses the skills to top the Red Group, especially considering the wavering form of Alcaraz and Medvedev.

Conclusion

As the ATP Finals unfold, Djokovic stands as the likely victor, given his unparalleled form and affinity for indoor conditions. Rublev, with his consistent performances and recent surge, emerges as the underdog with the potential to upset the odds. Their paths through the tournament will be intriguing to watch, with each match potentially rewriting the script of this tennis spectacle.

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined BettingTips4You.com since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at BettingTips4You.com.