Lazio vs Inter Milan Predictions

Lazio vs Inter predictions for Sunday’s Serie A clash. Following their recent Champions League group matches, Lazio and Inter Milan will meet at Stadio Olimpico for Sunday night’s Serie A clash. Who will prevail? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Inter Milan
Match Live Sunday, 17th December at 7:45 pm In:
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Lazio vs Inter Milan Predictions

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Capital Clash: Lazio’s Test Against Serie A Leaders Inter

Key Stats
– Lazio’s 21 points in 15 games are their lowest since 2015.
– Inter have won 12 of their 15 Serie A matches this season.
– Felipe Anderson has scored four goals in his last five appearances against Inter.

Stadio Olimpico sets the stage for a captivating Serie A encounter as Lazio host league leaders Inter Milan. Both teams, fresh from their Champions League commitments, bring contrasting domestic forms into this Sunday night showdown. Lazio, striving for consistency, face a formidable Inter side that has been ruthless in their title pursuit.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

BEST VALUE BET

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
In the upcoming Serie A clash at Stadio Olimpico, the focus turns to Lazio’s Ciro Immobile, a talismanic figure for the Biancocelesti. Currently boosted by Bet365 to 3/1 from the initial 11/4, a wager on Immobile achieving over 1.5 shots on target presents as an intriguing prospect. This bet, at the time of writing, comes with the usual terms and conditions and is subject to change.
Analysing Immobile’s recent form provides insight into this selection. His average rating of 6.89, while modest, masks the underlying potential. In his last five games, his ratings fluctuate but notably peak at 7.4 against Cagliari, underlining his capacity to rise in key moments. This season, he has played 14 matches, starting 10, and averages 62 minutes per game.

Immobile’s attacking statistics add weight to the argument. He has netted four goals with an expected goals (xG) of 3.97, indicating a striker consistently finding himself in scoring positions. His shots per game stand at 1.1, with 0.5 on target. While these numbers suggest he is slightly under the threshold, the nature of this high-profile game against a formidable opponent like Inter Milan could see an elevated performance level.
Inter Milan, boasting a solid defensive record, will undoubtedly pose a challenge. Yet, Immobile’s proven track record in big matches and his knack for finding space in the box to unleash shots make this bet a compelling choice. The odds, enhanced for value, reflect an opportunity for bettors to capitalise on Immobile’s potential to test Inter’s defense more than once on target.

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Tactical Analysis

Lazio’s Mid-Table Struggle: Lazio’s season has been marred by inconsistency. With 21 points from 15 matches, their mid-table position reflects a side struggling to replicate last season’s success. Lazio’s defence, once their stronghold, has wavered recently, conceding three goals in two games. This vulnerability will be tested against Inter’s potent attack.

Inter’s Scudetto Ambition: Inter Milan, under Simone Inzaghi, have been a model of efficiency. Averaging 2.47 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.47, they epitomise a well-balanced unit. Their formidable away record and attacking prowess, spearheaded by Lautaro Martinez, make them a daunting prospect for any opponent.

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Key Players and Match-Ups

  • Felipe Anderson vs. Inter’s Defence: Anderson’s pace and creativity could be crucial for Lazio. His record against Inter, with four goals in the last five encounters, makes him a significant threat.
  • Lautaro Martinez’s Prowess: Martinez, with 28 league goals in 2023, will be Lazio’s biggest concern. His predatory instincts and finishing ability could prove decisive.
  • Midfield Battle: The control of the midfield, with Luis Alberto for Lazio and Hakan Çalhanoğlu for Inter, will be pivotal in dictating the game’s tempo and rhythm.

In-Depth Analysis

Expected Goals (xG) and Defensive Dynamics:

  • Lazio’s xG of 1.7 per game contrasts with their actual goal output, indicating missed opportunities.
  • Inter’s defensive solidity, with an xG against (xGA) of just 0.5 per game, shows their ability to stifle opponents.

Strategies and Improvement Areas:

  • Lazio must tighten their defence and exploit the flanks, where Anderson could be key.
  • Inter should maintain their high-pressing game and exploit Lazio’s recent defensive lapses.

Managerial Tact:

  • Sarri faces criticism for Lazio’s inconsistent performances and must rethink his tactical approach against top teams.
  • Inzaghi, on the other hand, receives accolades for balancing Inter’s attacking flair with defensive discipline.

Expected Lineups

Lazio: Provedel; Lazzari, Casale, Patric, Marusic; Guendouzi, Rovella, Alberto; Anderson, Immobile, Zaccagni

Inter Milan: Sommer; Bisseck, Acerbi, Bastoni; Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Thuram, Martinez

Commentary on Lineups: Lazio will rely on Immobile’s finishing and Anderson’s flair, while Inter’s attack, led by Martinez, backed by a solid midfield, looks formidable. The game could hinge on the midfield tussle and how each team’s defence handles the attacking threats.


Predictions

  1. Match Result: Inter Milan to Win. Their form and efficiency, especially in away games, tip the scales in their favor.
  2. Correct Score: Lazio 1-2 Inter Milan. Expect a closely fought encounter with Inter edging it.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction: Lautaro Martinez to Score. His impressive goal-scoring record this year makes him a likely candidate.
  4. First Half Result: Draw. Both teams might take a cautious approach initially, leading to an even first half.
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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!