Juventus vs Inter Milan Predictions

Juventus vs Inter Milan predictions ahead of Sunday’s crunch title affair in Serie A. Can Juventus get a crucial win at the Allianz Stadium against title rivals Inter and move top of the Serie A table or will the visitors get a positive result? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Juventus vs Inter Milan
Match Live Sunday, 26th November at 7:45 pm In:
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Juventus vs Inter Milan Predictions

Tactical Tussle: Analysing Juventus’ Fortitude Against Inter’s Flair

Key Stats
Defensive Discipline: Juventus have secured six clean sheets in their seven-game unbeaten run.
Scoring Streak: Inter Milan’s Lautaro Martinez aims to continue his scoring spree, with 12 goals in the season so far.
Home Fortress: Juventus have dropped just two points at home this term, fortifying the Allianz Stadium as a bastion of resilience.

As the weekend’s Serie A fixtures culminate, the spotlight intensively focuses on the Derby d’Italia, a historic encounter that sees Juventus and Inter Milan clash in a battle with significant title implications. Juventus, trailing Inter by a mere two points, could leapfrog their rivals with a victory in Turin.

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Best Value Bet Rationale
In the highly anticipated Derby d’Italia, where Juventus host Inter Milan, the spotlight inevitably falls on the prolific Lautaro Martinez. The Argentine striker’s performance is often a barometer for Inter’s attacking impetus, and his ability to test the opposition’s goal is unrivalled in the Nerazzurri’s forward line. Martinez averages 1.4 shots on target per game this season, which, coupled with his impressive BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.68, underscores his significance to Inter’s offensive strategy.

The 13/8 odds for Martinez to have over 1.5 shots on target, a selection currently boosted by Bet365 from the initial 6/4, presents a compelling value bet. This is especially pertinent considering Juventus’ robust defence which might restrict Martinez from scoring but not from testing the goalkeeper. His scoring frequency of a goal every 82 minutes, supported by an average of 3.3 shots per game, indicates that Martinez is not only a prolific scorer but also consistently involved in threatening positions.
The enhanced odds offer from Bet365, available at the time of writing and subject to change as per their terms and conditions, provides an enticing opportunity for bettors seeking value. Given Martinez’s form and crucial role in Inter’s attack, it’s a calculated wager that he will be able to direct at least two attempts on target, a feat well within the capabilities of a striker of his calibre in such a high-stakes match.

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The Stakes in Turin

The forthcoming match is more than a game; it’s a potential title decider. Juventus, buoyed by a series of victories pre-international break, have re-emerged as title contenders. Max Allegri’s side has been particularly stout defensively, posting clean sheets and utilising their time away from European competitions to solidify their tactical approach. The chance to secure a third consecutive win over Inter without conceding heightens the anticipation.

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Inter’s Quest for Continuity

Inter’s campaign has been commendable, with only one defeat marring their league record. Their prolific scorer, Lautaro Martinez, spearheads an attack that has propelled Inter to a six-game winning streak. Simone Inzaghi’s men, having sealed early progression in the Champions League, can now turn their full attention to retaining domestic supremacy.

Tactical Conundrums

Max Allegri faces midfield dilemmas with key players like Paul Pogba and Nicolo Fagioli suspended, and Manuel Locatelli’s availability in question. The return of Adrien Rabiot could prove crucial as Juventus aims to maintain its formidable home form. Inter, despite missing Benjamin Pavard and Alessandro Bastoni, will rely on their robust attack led by Martinez and Marcus Thuram to disrupt Juventus’ defensive harmony.

Key Player Showdowns

The match could hinge on the midfield battle where Rabiot’s composure and experience may counteract Inter’s dynamism. Filip Kostic, for Juventus, could be pivotal on the flanks, while Inter’s Martinez seeks to overcome his scoring drought against the Old Lady.

Prognosis of Gameplay

Juventus will likely employ a disciplined, compact defensive structure aiming to neutralise Inter’s offensive threat. Inter, conversely, will need to be incisive and creative to breach Juventus’ backline. Both sides possess the tactical nous and individual talent to swing the game in their favour.

Managerial Mind Games

While Allegri’s defensive acumen is a strength for Juventus, Inzaghi’s record against him in Derby d’Italia clashes could be a psychological advantage for Inter. Allegri’s critics, however, might point to a perceived over-reliance on defensive tactics that could hinder Juventus’ attacking potential.

Analysing Expected Goals (xG)

Juventus’ xG suggests an efficient, though not prolific, offence, while Inter’s higher xG underscores their attacking prowess. The battle will likely be won or lost in the midfield, dictating the tempo and the creation of goal-scoring opportunities.


Predictions

1. Defensive Stalemate: Under 2.5 Goals

The Derby d’Italia is historically a fixture laden with tactical intricacies, often resulting in closely-fought contests. This time around, both Juventus and Inter Milan boast some of the stingiest defences in Serie A. Juventus, under Allegri’s tutelage, has re-established their defensive rigour, a hallmark of their Scudetto-winning days. The Old Lady’s backline, marshalled by the likes of Daniele Rugani and Bremer, has been formidable, particularly at the Allianz Stadium, conceding a mere seven goals across twelve league games. Inter, though they come with an attacking reputation, have also shown defensive solidity, with just six goals conceded. Given the high stakes of the match, both sides are likely to prioritise defensive organisation over attacking abandon, making a bet on under 2.5 goals a thoughtful proposition.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan

Given the aforementioned defensive strengths, a solitary goal could very well be the difference-maker in this encounter. Juventus’ recent form, coupled with their home advantage, suggests they could edge this contest. While Inter’s attack, led by the prolific Martinez, poses a significant threat, Juventus’ defence has a proven track record of neutralising even the most potent of strikers. Allegri’s ability to set up his team to grind out narrow victories, especially in games of such magnitude, supports the prospect of a 1-0 scoreline in favour of the hosts.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Federico Chiesa to Score

Amidst Juventus’ impressive defensive statistics, their attacking prowess, particularly at home, cannot be disregarded. Federico Chiesa stands out as a likely candidate to etch his name on the scoresheet. His dynamism and incisiveness have been crucial for Juventus, especially in tightly contested matches. Chiesa has the propensity to create opportunities out of minimal chances, and his fearless approach in taking on defenders often leads to goal-scoring positions. Although coming back from injury, his impact has been immediate, and his eagerness to regain top form could see him being the difference-maker for Juventus against Inter Milan’s robust defence.

4. Corner Conjecture: Juventus Over 5 Corners, Total Over 9

In a match that’s likely to be decided by fine margins, set-pieces could play a pivotal role. Juventus, while defensively sound, will be looking to exploit Inter’s flanks, potentially leading to a higher corner count. Inter, with their quick transitions and wide play, are also likely to win their share of corners. The tactical setup, especially if Juventus employ a counter-attacking approach, could see them conceding territory and corners to Inter. Considering both teams’ styles and the intensity of the Derby, predicting Juventus to win over five corners with a total tally surpassing nine in the game seems a feasible outcome.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!