Following a 5/6 (3pt) winner yesterday and an unlucky 10/3 (5pt) second, Steve Ryder previews two races on Friday 13th October. October P&L +23.10pts.
2:25 Newmarket- Hikmaa 16/1 (0.5pt ew)
Hikmaa won twice on the AW before contesting the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket last month. She outran her odds of 25/1 to finish fourth in the race despite hitting a flat spot 2f out. That fourth place was only ½ length behind Gavota who is 3/1 favourite for the race despite having an identical run during the race. Hikmaa is about 5 times the price of the Gavota in this race and I think that is too much of a discrepancy and a chance is taken on Hikmaa at 16/1.
3:55 York- Star Rock 6/1 (0.5pt ew)
The form of Star Rock’s last two wins have been boosted since and I think it worth keeping her onside off a 5lb higher mark of 85. She won a 1m2f maiden at Newmarket beating God Given by ½ length. That rival then won a maiden at 2/7, a listed race and then a Group 3 and is now rated 105. Star Rock then won a Fillies Handicap over the same C&D by 1 ½ lengths to Cribbs Causeway. Cribbs Causeway was raised 2lb for that second place but then won a handicap off that mark next time and has been raised another 5lb to 95. With the form of those two wins, over the two rivals, Star Rock looks to have a huge opportunity off a mark of 85.
5:20 Newmarket- Natavia 4/1 (0.5pt ew)
Natavia finised a close second at the course on her debut before an impressive win in a listed race on her next start. That was over 1m2f at Newbury on soft ground and as a result was asked to contest the Oaks on her next start. She disappointed in the race but given that it was only her third start of her career, and only 6 weeks after her debut run, she can be forgiven that result. Ryan Moore is back on board today and with questions about the favourite Architecture (only 1 win in 9 runs) I think she is worth chancing each way.
2:25 Newmarket- Hikmaa 16/1 (0.5pt ew) click here for best odds
3:55 York- Star Rock 6/1 (0.5pt ew) click here for best odds
5:20 Newmarket- Natavia 4/1 (0.5pt ew) click here for best odds
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