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Livingston vs Aberdeen Predictions Sunday’s of Scottish Premiership at The Almondvale Stadium pitches Livingston against Aberdeen in a match that feels far bigger than a routine league fixture. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Aberdeen come into this fixture on a run of two wins and three draws from their last five, with their recent matches averaging only 1.5 total goals and most finishing under 2.5. Livingston, by contrast, remain anchored to the bottom after a 12-game winless run in all competitions, with three defeats in their last four home league games. The Dons’ likely line-up, built around Mitov, Devlin, Milne and Knoester, looks robust enough to contain a Livingston side that often lack cutting edge. Combining an away win with under 3.5 goals neatly reflects Aberdeen’s efficient style and the hosts’ ongoing struggles.
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A 1-0 success for Aberdeen mirrors the way both teams have been trending. The Dons have recently posted narrow wins over Kilmarnock and Hearts, emphasising control and defensive organisation rather than attacking chaos. Livingston’s last six matches have included several tight defeats, reflecting a side who can compete in phases but repeatedly fall short at crucial moments. With the hosts missing or potentially missing several players, including Montgomery, Denholm, Kerr and McLennan, depth is stretched. Aberdeen’s superior structure, form and confidence make a single-goal away win the most realistic scoreline in a match that should remain competitive but cagey.
Livingston vs Aberdeen Predictions and Best Bets
- Livingston’s Winless Spiral Continues: The Lions have gone 12 games without a victory in all competitions, taking only four draws and suffering eight defeats, despite often contributing to high-scoring, end-to-end contests.
- Aberdeen’s Low-Scoring Stability: Across their last six matches in all competitions, Aberdeen have lost only once, averaged 1.5 total goals per game and seen five of those fixtures finish under 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-Head Momentum with the Dons: Aberdeen are unbeaten in six consecutive meetings with Livingston since November 2022, collecting three wins and three draws, including this season’s early 0-0 when they were bottom.
Will Aberdeen’s Revival Deepen Livingston’s Troubles in a Tight Almondvale Showdown?
On paper, it is eighth versus bottom in the Scottish Premiership, but emotionally it is a meeting between a side trying desperately to escape a downward spiral and an opponent who have dragged themselves out of trouble and now dare to look upwards. Livingston sit on just eight points from 13 league matches, cut adrift at the bottom and carrying the heavy baggage of a 12-game winless streak in all competitions. For a club who bounced straight back to the top flight via the promotion playoffs, this season was supposed to be about consolidation, not clinging on. Instead, the Lions are stuck in a rut, with every missed chance and soft goal against tightening the knot in the stomach of their supporters.
Aberdeen, by contrast, have ridden out their early-season storm. The Dons started the campaign in chaos, with one win from 11 games in all competitions and a grim combination of eight defeats and two draws. They stumbled in Europe, misfired in the league, and at one stage found themselves rooted to the bottom. That alone will make this fixture sting a little for Livingston; Aberdeen have clambered up to 14 points from 12 league matches, while their hosts have swapped places and now prop up the table.
Livingston’s Struggles and Signs of Life
Livingston’s story this term has been a brutal lesson in how quickly momentum can vanish. They re-entered the Premiership with heartening signs, drawing 2-2 with Kilmarnock and beating fellow promoted side Falkirk 3-1. Those early results hinted that they could ride the bounce from their playoff triumph. Instead, a 2-0 defeat to Hibernian in the League Cup triggered a miserable stretch of 12 games without a victory across competitions, with eight losses and only four draws.
The recent league run tells its own tale. November brought a 2-2 home draw with Hibernian and a 1-1 away result at Falkirk, suggesting Livingston still have attacking spark when they can get up the pitch. But defeats to Motherwell and Rangers, plus a heavy 4-0 loss at Hibernian in October, underline how often they are punished defensively. An average of three total goals per game over their last six outings, with 83% of those matches seeing both sides score, shows that Livingston are involved in open, sometimes chaotic contests, but they usually end up on the wrong side of the fine margins.
Injuries are hardly helping. Adam Montgomery, Aidan Denholm, Cameron Kerr, Connor McLennan and Shane Blaney are all expected to miss out, while Mohammad Sylla, Cristian Montano and Macaulay Tait are doubts after picking up knocks against Rangers. That opens the door for Junior Robinson, Andrew Shinnie and Ryan McGowan to feature more prominently. A likely XI built around Prior in goal, a back line involving McGowan, Finlayson and Wilson, and a midfield platform of Robinson, Pittman, Susoho, Shinnie and Lawal behind Yengi and May suggests Livingston will be relying on work-rate, structure and set-play threat rather than star power.
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Aberdeen’s Revival Under Thelin
On the other side, Aberdeen arrive with quiet confidence rather than swagger. Jimmy Thelin’s side looked rudderless earlier in the campaign, failing to qualify for the Europa League and losing five of their first six Premiership matches. They even began their Conference League group stage with a defeat. But a gritty league win against Dundee was followed by a victory over St Mirren, and although losses to AEK Athens and Hibernian briefly stalled the revival, the Dons have since stitched together a far more convincing run.
A 1-0 triumph at Kilmarnock, a 1-1 home draw with Motherwell and a superb 1-0 victory over league leaders Hearts showcased a team that now defend properly and pick their attacking moments with more maturity. Add in Conference League draws away at AEK Larnaca and at home to Noah and you get a picture of a side who are suddenly hard to beat. Over their last six matches in all competitions, Aberdeen have lost just once, winning two and drawing three, with an average of only 1.5 total goals per game and 83% of those fixtures finishing under 2.5 goals.
In terms of personnel, Aberdeen still have the ongoing absence of Kristers Tobers to contend with, but otherwise Thelin looks to have a settled core. The likely line-up of Mitov; Devlin, Milne, Knoester; Lobban, Aouchiche, Polvara, Jensen; Keskinen, Armstrong; Lazetic suggests a compact back line, energetic wing-backs, a technically balanced midfield and a front line that can press and stretch the game. With the Dons also boasting attacking contributions from the likes of J. Bokila and J. Karlsson in the wider season stats, plus T. Keskinen featuring prominently for assists, there is a sense of an outfit where several players are chipping in, not just one talisman.
Head-to-head trends lean Aberdeen’s way too. The Dons are unbeaten in this fixture since November 2022, picking up three wins and three draws in that period. Earlier this season, they drew 0-0 with Livingston when they were struggling badly. Now the roles are reversed: Aberdeen are climbing, Livingston are sinking. It sounds harsh, but on current evidence backing the Lions outright feels more like an act of faith than a decision based on logic.
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Aberdeen to Win and Under 3.5 Goals
At BettingTips4You we follow a very clear philosophy: one game, one best bet. Instead of throwing dozens of options at you and hoping something lands, we dig into the numbers, tactical patterns and team news to identify a single selection that we believe offers the best blend of realism and value. It keeps things simple for readers, removes the stress of choosing between conflicting tips, and makes our own record fully accountable, because every match is distilled into one flagship prediction. For Livingston vs Aberdeen, that standout angle is Aberdeen to win and under 3.5 total goals.
Why Aberdeen to Win and Under 3.5 Goals Makes Sense
There are two pillars to this selection: Aberdeen’s defensive solidity and Livingston’s ongoing fragility, wrapped up in a broader expectation of a relatively low-scoring encounter.
Start with the visitors. The Dons have taken 14 points from 12 league matches, winning four, drawing two and losing six, but that topline record hides a clear improvement. Over their last five Premiership fixtures they have secured victories against Kilmarnock and Hearts, drawn with Motherwell and only lost once in that stretch. Across all competitions, they come into this clash on a run of two wins and three draws from their last five, and their recent games tend to be tight: an average of 1.5 total goals in their last six outings, with 83% of those matches finishing under 2.5, tells you they are not involved in basketball scorelines.
Livingston, in contrast, are locked into a nightmare run. One victory in 13 league matches, eight losses and four draws in their 12-game winless streak across competitions and three defeats in their last four home Premiership games paint a worrying picture. Although their last six encounters have produced an average of three goals per match and 83% of those have seen both sides score, those numbers are heavily influenced by defensive lapses and late concessions. The Lions are competitive for spells, but crucial moments keep breaking against them.
Aberdeen’s recent away wins at Kilmarnock and narrow success over Hearts show they are comfortable in controlled, attritional battles where one big moment decides the contest. Their likely XI with Mitov behind a three of Devlin, Milne and Knoester, plus the screening work of Lobban, Aouchiche, Polvara and Jensen, is built to suffocate space. Upfront, Keskinen, Armstrong and Lazetic offer enough movement to exploit Livingston’s tendency to switch off under pressure.
“When you line up Livingston’s prolonged slump next to Aberdeen’s measured revival, the pattern is clear – the Dons are trending upwards, while the Lions are scrambling for answers. Add in Aberdeen’s recent run of low-scoring results and a narrow away victory in a game with limited goals looks like the most logical outcome,” – BettingTips4You.com expert quote.
We are therefore not asking Aberdeen to suddenly become free-scoring; we are backing them to do what they have been doing recently – stay compact, take one or two clear chances, and manage the game with discipline. Combining the away win with under 3.5 goals gives us a prediction that mirrors both sides’ current trends: Aberdeen increasingly efficient, Livingston spirited but error-prone.
For the correct score market, our preferred angle is a 1-0 victory for Aberdeen. The Dons’ recent pattern of 1-0 wins against Kilmarnock and Hearts, plus a sequence of low total-goal matches, dovetails neatly with Livingston’s habit of staying in contests without quite getting over the line. A disciplined Aberdeen performance, a single decisive moment from the likes of Armstrong or Lazetic, and a frustrated Almondvale crowd would fit the story this season has been telling.
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