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Dundee vs St Mirren predictions for Saturday’s Scottish Premiership at The Dens Park. Dundee are 11th with nine points from 13 league games. For a club who recently celebrated a top-six finish and then narrowly avoided relegation the following season, this campaign was supposed to be a reset, not a continuation of the struggle. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Both Teams To Score – No looks well supported by the data. Dundee have failed to score in their last three matches and come into this contest on a four-game losing streak, suggesting confidence is fragile in the final third. St Mirren’s recent league run is poor, but they showed against Celtic that they can defend compactly and keep games tight, even if their own attack is not firing freely. With the visitors likely to adopt a solid 3-5-2 shape and the hosts struggling to create chances, at least one side drawing a blank appears more likely than a shootout.
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A 0-1 St Mirren win reflects the expectation of a tense, low-scoring clash. Dundee’s recent failure to score and their four straight league defeats hint that a big attacking turnaround is unlikely. St Mirren, although on a poor run themselves, remain organised enough to nick a tight game, as shown by their competitive display in a narrow loss to Celtic. Their extra midfielder in a 3-5-2 should help them control key areas and create one or two decisive chances for the likes of Mandron or N’Lundulu, making a single-goal away victory a realistic outcome.
Dundee vs St Mirren Predictions and Best Bets
- Dundee’s attack stuck firmly in reverse
- Dundee arrive with just two league wins all season, eight defeats from 13 Premiership games and no goals scored in each of their last three outings, underlining serious attacking issues.
- St Mirren’s results poor, but margins remain tight
- St Mirren’s league run of five defeats and one draw looks grim, yet a narrow 1-0 loss to Celtic shows they can still deliver compact, competitive performances against strong opposition.
- League table highlights the stakes at the bottom
- Only one point separates 11th-placed Dundee on nine points and ninth-placed St Mirren on 10, meaning even a low-scoring win here could significantly reshape the early relegation picture.
Will Dundee’s Goal Drought Hand St Mirren a Narrow but Vital Edge at Dens Park?
Instead, under Steven Pressley, the Dee have slipped into another battle at the wrong end of the table, with four consecutive Premiership defeats and only two wins all season. Their wider record under Pressley – four victories, three draws and ten defeats in 17 matches in all competitions – paints a picture of a team who are searching for an identity and, frankly, some basic stability. Early elimination from the Scottish League Cup at the group stage, after losing the first two ties before rallying with a pair of wins that ultimately did not matter, set the tone for a campaign where positive moments have been too fleeting.
St Mirren’s story is almost the reverse. The Saints began the season looking organised and confident, losing only one of their first 12 games in normal time across all competitions, including two wins, three draws and a single defeat from their opening Premiership outings. They marched into the Scottish League Cup semi-finals, then powered past Motherwell 4-1 to book a place in the final. At that point you could almost hear pundits lining up to talk about them as dark horses.
From bright beginnings to shared anxieties
Then the slide arrived. Stephen Robinson’s side have now gone six league matches without a win, losing five and drawing one. That impressive early platform has been eroded, and St Mirren are ninth with only 10 points, just one ahead of Dundee and uncomfortably close to the trapdoor places. The cup heroics against Motherwell look increasingly like a glorious outlier rather than the start of something sustained.
The Saints’ form tables are ugly: L L L D L L in the Premiership and L L D W L L across all competitions. Yet even in that gloomy sequence there are hints that the performance level has not entirely collapsed. A narrow 1-0 defeat to Celtic last weekend, where St Mirren competed well despite the loss, offers at least some encouragement that the structure is still intact.
That is what makes this match so delicately poised. Dundee are tumbling, with league form reading L W L L L L and goals drying up completely in their last three games. St Mirren are also stuck in reverse, but have shown flashes that suggest they are closer to turning the corner. Both sets of players know that whoever blinks here could spend the rest of the winter staring at the relegation zone from uncomfortably close range.
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Selection headaches and tactical tensions
Team news reinforces the tension. For Dundee, Imari Samuels is doubtful after hobbling off early in the defeat to Hibernian, which may see Ryan Astley pushed into the starting XI alongside Graham and Robertson at the back. In a possible 3-4-3, McCracken is expected in goal, with Wright and Dhanda operating as advanced wide or midfield players and Digby and Hamilton providing central presence. Further forward, combinations of Yogane, Murray, Reilly or Congreve can be used to try to inject some attacking spark into a side that have simply stopped scoring recently.
The bluntness in front of goal is not a minor issue. Dundee have failed to find the net in each of their last three matches, and when a manager is under pressure, that silence feels deafening. Pressley may be tempted to shuffle his attacking trio again, but constant change can just as easily undermine cohesion as fix it.
St Mirren have their own problems. Mark O’Hara is unlikely to feature due to a foot issue, although his return is not too far away. Even without him, there is a fairly settled look about the side that pushed Celtic close. George in goal, a back three of Fraser, Gogic and Freckleton, and a busy midfield made up of Richardson, Phillips, Baccus, McMenamin and John provide a strong spine. Up front, Mandron and N’Lundulu offer physicality, hold-up play and running in behind.
Tactically, Dundee are expected to stick with a 3-4-3 alignment, with wing-backs such as Wright expected to shuttle up and down. St Mirren are likely to continue with a 3-5-2 structure, using their extra midfielder to squeeze central zones and make life unpleasant for Dundee’s creators like Dhanda. On paper, that gives the Saints a better platform for controlling the tempo, while Dundee’s shape is more geared to wide pressure and counters – if they can get the ball into advanced areas often enough.
Best Bet for This Match
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Both Teams To Score – No
For this fixture, our standout angle is Both Teams To Score – No. Importantly, this is not just one of several half-hearted options plucked from a big menu. Here at BettingTips4You we believe strongly in quality over quantity, so we publish one main prediction per match, the bet we genuinely consider to be the best-value route based on the evidence. That approach means you are not left guessing which selection we really prefer, and it also keeps us accountable: tracking profit and loss is straightforward when there is a clear primary tip for every game rather than a scattergun of conflicting ideas.
Why Both Teams To Score – No makes the most sense
The starting point is Dundee’s alarming lack of attacking output. They have gone three consecutive matches without scoring, which is a serious red flag for any Both Teams To Score backer. Even allowing for the fact that they have faced strong opponents during that run, a side in 11th place, with only nine points from 13 league fixtures and a four-game losing streak, simply cannot be trusted to turn dominance into goals – mainly because dominance has rarely appeared in the first place. The 3-4-3 system, with players like Dhanda and Yogane supporting Murray or Reilly, looks adventurous on paper, but recent results show a side struggling to create clear openings, let alone finish them.
St Mirren’s recent sequence is poor in terms of results, but their 1-0 defeat to Celtic shows that they are still capable of putting together a disciplined, compact performance. The potential back line of Fraser, Gogic and Freckleton, shielded by hardworking midfielders such as Phillips and Baccus, is well suited to soaking up pressure from a team short on invention. Wing-backs like Richardson and John can drop in to form a back five when needed, further restricting space.
At the other end, the Saints are hardly free-scoring either. Their league form of L L L D L L indicates a side who have found it difficult to convert decent spells into a steady flow of goals. Forwards Mandron and N’Lundulu offer a physical threat, and McMenamin can provide creativity, but this is not a relentlessly clinical attack. A single goal might be enough for them, and they know it.
BettingTips4You.com expert quote: “When one team haven’t scored in three games and the other are grinding through defeats decided by tight margins, Both Teams To Score – No is not negative – it’s just brutally honest.”
In a contest shaped by fear of losing as much as desire to win, a low-scoring encounter with at least one blank sheet is more likely than a chaotic goal-fest.
Predicted pattern and likely correct score
If we accept that chances may be limited and at least one attack could misfire completely, we can drill down to a specific correct score. Our inclination is towards a 0-1 victory for St Mirren. That differs from the example calls of 0-2 to the Saints or 2-1 Dundee, but still fits the broader statistical picture.
Dundee’s four-game losing run and sequence of matches without scoring suggest that, unless something changes drastically, it is optimistic to expect multiple goals from the home side. Pressley might change personnel, perhaps bringing Astley into the back line and rotating the front three with Congreve or Reilly, but constant tinkering can sometimes make attacking patterns less coherent, not more.
St Mirren, meanwhile, have shown in the Celtic defeat that they can remain solid and competitive, even if their attacking edge has dulled during this winless league run. Their extra midfielder in the 3-5-2 should help them choke Dundee’s supply into the forwards and create counter-attacking moments for Mandron and N’Lundulu. A single break, a set-piece or a moment of quality from McMenamin or John might be enough to tilt the balance.
A 0-1 scoreline acknowledges that Dundee’s attacking struggles are genuine, that St Mirren’s defence still has structure and that neither side is likely to suddenly explode into free-flowing form. It is not glamorous, but in a relegation scrap, glamour is usually the first thing to disappear.
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