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Epsom Derby Betting Preview & Tips
Saturday 04th July 2020 – 16.55pm – Investec Derby (Group 1)
Steve Ryder previews the Investec Derby (Group 1):
The renewal of the Derby this year is an open contest with the favourite English King drifting in the market since he was drawn in Stall 1. He was an impressive winner of the Lingfield Derby Trial last month beating Berkshire Rocco by nearly three lengths at the finish. Although he won comfortably at the finish, he didn’t appear to handle the downhill turn at Lingfield, so I would have reservations about him handling Epsom in a sixteen runner field.
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Aidan O’Brien is the joint winning most trainer of the race with seven victories, so anything he runs has to be respected. Ryan Moore has chosen to ride Mogul, and although he will no doubt come on for his reappearance at Royal Ascot, his form is still below the level I believe is needed to win this race. I would prefer the claims of Royal Ascot winner Russian Emperor who won the Hampton Court Stakes over 1m2f staying on well at the finish. His apparent third string Vatican City ran well to finish 2nd in the Irish 2000 Guineas on his reappearance but on breeding would have stamina question marks. Both Highland Chief and Pyledriver were winners at Royal Ascot, but as is the case with the remainder of the field, they will have to step forward to win this race.
There is no form like classic form and 2000 Guineas winner Kameko should be favourite for the race, in my opinion. He has a slight stamina question mark on pedigree, but the style of his previous two victories over a mile would give confidence on him getting this extended trip. He won the Vertem Futurity Trophy on his final start as a two-year old by over three lengths staying on well at the finish where he had Mogul behind him in fourth. The son of Kitten’s Joy won the 2000 Guineas on his reappearance making up five places in the final two furlongs to win by a neck at the finish. He beat Wichita and Pinatubo in the race who both placed in the St James’ Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot so the form looks strong and he looks sure to be involved at the finish.
Betting Tip: Kameko at 9/2 (1pt ew) with four places on offer.
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Investec Derby Predictions & Tips
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