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Australian Open Betting: Thiem Over Estimated Against Monfils in Day 8

Australian Open Betting
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The first tournament of the 2020 tennis season will be the first Grand Slam: the Australian Open. Not only we will preview both the women and man tournament, but you will also be able to access the best odds and the analysis of the most important games made by our top tennis betting tips experts.

There are many reasons why you should follow the Australian Open and, from a betting perspective, bookmakers always go the extra mile in offering great odds and offers for what is the first major tennis tournament of the year. We will bring those for you so bookmark this page and come back regularly to find the latest updates.

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Australian Open 2020 Betting

2020 Australian Open Men’s Betting | Monday 27th, January 2020

01:00 – Gael Monfils vs Dominic Thiem Betting Tips: Value Is On Monfils

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On day eight of the Australian Open, we have additional interesting matches valid for the fourth round, and once again, we have looked at the value bets to place.  

Monfils can cause an upset against Thiem

On Monday the fourth round will continue, and we will trust against Gael Monfils who has already given us a win on Saturday. The French will now face Dominic Thiem in the first match of the day. Thiem can currently be backed at 7/20 while Monfils is 9/4. This is, in our opinion, an absurd price if we look at the hardcourt data over the last year, and even further back. 

Monfils has only a slightly lower win percentage but still doesn’t justify the massive difference in price we are given. In fact, there is nothing that says that he is a worst hard courter than Thiem, especially in quick conditions. 

The value is in the handicap market

Looking at the head to head, the Austrian Thiem is leading 5-0, and this is the stat that has probably pushed the traders to give out those kinds of odds. If we look deeper than that, we can see that three of those matches were on clay which is the surface that Thiem prefers. Another match was at Indian Wells, which is a slow hard court. 

Conditions in Melbourne will be significantly different on Monday. We do not see Monfils winning his first match over Thiem but backing the Frenchman on the handicap market with +5.5 game looks the way to go at 8/13. 

Rafa too strong for Kyrgios

Two of the three matches of Monday includes super favourites. Daniil Medvedev and Rafa Nadal should win without any problems against Stan Wawrinka and Nick Kyrgios. You might even say that the 1/6 on Nadal to win it is also quite generous. Nadal has a better return, and this should allow him to win comfortably. He has been consistent and will probably keep himself focused better as well. 

Rublev to prevail over Zverev

Andrey Rublev is available 4/5 to defeat Alexander Zverev. The German has had a torrid last 12 months and based on numbers on the hardcourt, Rublev should be at a far shorter price today. 

Today’s Verdict: Back Gael Monfils +5.5 Games To Beat Dominic Thiem

A £20 Bet On The Selection Above Returns:

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2020 Australian Open Women’s Betting | Monday 27th, January 2020

00:00 – Elise Mertens vs Simona Halep Betting Tips: Value Is On Monfils

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Gauff’s dream ended by Kenin

In the last few days in Melbourne we have seen a series of shocking results in the women’s tournament. On Sunday Ons Jabeur has made it to the quarter-finals after defeating Serena William’s conqueror, Qiang Wang. Cori Gauff’s run has also ended against Sofia Kenin, once again upsetting the pre-match odds. 

Value on Mertens to defeat Halep

Today we are focusing on Elise Mertens to continue her Australian Open journey. The Belgian will face Simona Halep in the first match of Monday’s schedule. The reason why we believe the Belgian will progress is that Halep has been playing too many big tournaments in recent times and has never been close to her top level. There is good value in backing Mertens to win here as Halep is the market favourite at 4/7 which looks seriously short. 

If we look at the last 12 month hard court data, Mertens has had a higher percentage of return points and service points. When we look at the last six months, that percentage is even higher. The main reason why the market is making Halep the hot favourite is that she has a bigger reputation in such big tournaments, but Mertens surely represent great value at 29/20. 

In form Swiatek to cause problems to Kontaveit

Iga Swiatek has been in great form in the biggest stage recently and surely has great potentials. Her performances have been even more impressive if you consider that this is the first tournament that she is playing since her defeat in the US Open at the end of August. 

Could it be the year where we see Swiatek ending in the top 20? Possibly, as the Polish has a great talent and a win over Anett Kontaveit will give her a big boost in confidence. Kontaveit, who defeated Belinda Bencic last Saturday, looks at a fair 4/5 to progress further.

Muguruza to prevail over Bertens

Later on in the day, or in the night if you are in the UK, we will see Garbine Muguruza taking on Kiki Bertens. The price for Muguruza is about right at 4/6 and this is a shame as I believe the bookies will give more credit to Bertens. Muguruza should win this as she has a considerable edge on returns numbers. 

Some value on Angelique Kerber 

We were looking at the price on Angelique Kerber to win over Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, and we believe there is some value at evens. Surely Kerber is a player in a slight decline recently, but the market has over-reacted slightly on Pavlyuchenkova success over Karolina Pliskova. We believe this is going to be an even affair so might be worth backing Kerber at this price and cash out in-play. 

Today’s Verdict: Back Elise Mertens To Beat Simona Halep

A £20 Bet On The Selection Above Returns:

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2020 Australian Open Men’s Betting: Outright Betting Tips

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The Australian Open has been dominated, like for the most Men’s Grand Slam’s tournament, by the big four in the last decade. The first edition of the new decade will get underway on Monday 20th and looks set to be an intriguing tournament.

Novak Djokovic, who has helped Serbia winning the ATP Cup over Spain in the last weekend, will be hoping to start the new year with the eight-title in Melbourne.

Rafael Nadal, will be bidding to win Down Under for the second time. If the Spaniard is successful, he will level with Roger Federer (20) in the all-time Grand Slam list. But, there are some dark horses in the men’s draw that could well turn things around, and that might be extremely valuable when it comes to betting on the Australian Open.

Top Betting Offers To Take Advantage Of In The Australian Open

Consistent Agut

Roberto Agut is one of the most consistent players in the ATP Tour and is coming after having won all five of his ties in the ATP Cup. The Spaniard has powerful backhand and forehand and normally five his opponent very little to settle. He is now inside the world’s top 10 and having reached the semi-finals at Wimbledon last year, surely has the necessary experience to deal with the pressure of a Grand Slam.

The 31 years old has had very difficult time personally last year as he lost his father but has worked very hard to improve his game. Agut went as far as the quarter-finals of the Australian Open 2019 and was defeated by upcoming Stefanos Tsitsipas. He loves playing on a hard court and can build up points well. Agut, who can be backed at 66/1 to win the Australian Open at the time of writing, can go all the way, subject to having a draw that works for him.

Young And Ready De Minaur

There are many fearless young stars that are coming up in the ATP Tour, and one of those is surely Alex De Minaur. Even if he is thin and wiry, he has a vibrant style and gets excellent depth with his slides backhand. It is a very difficult player to face, and many see similarities with Lleyton Hewitt in the way he stays on the court. He chases down every ball similarly to his fellow countryman used to do.

Even if he was defeated by Jannik Sinner in the Next Gen Finals last year, he has won three titles already, including one in Sydney. Last year he reached the third round at the Australian Open but lost to Nadal. De Minaur surely cannot be underestimated, also because he is playing at home and looks valuable at 40/1 to go all the way in Melbourne.

Italian ace Berrettini

It has been a sensational 2019 for Matteo Berrettini who managed to make his debut at the ATP Finals at London’s O2 Arena as a cherry over the cake. The italian rising star has reached the semi-finals of the US Open and with a serve of around 142mps can cause problems to anyone. He also has a ferocious forehand and uses a strategy similar to his idol Federer.

When it comes to Grand Slam, he has reached the fourth round at Wimbledon in 2019 and also the semi-final at the US Open when Nadal defeated him. Berrettini’s game is perfect for the Australian Open and last year he delivered in total 870 aces and won 86% of his service games. The Italian is surely a big underdog here at 50/1 but has the skills to spring a surprise.

First Verdict: Back Roberto Bautista-Agut to Win Australian Open

A £20 Bet On The Selection Above Returns:

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Coral£667Bet Here

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2020 Australian Open Women Betting: Outright Betting Tips

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There are lot of expectations for the first Grand Slam of the new decade. The women’s draw should be an open affair with the likes of Ash Barty, Serena Williams and Bianca Andreescu that are all tipped to do well ‘down-under’. But who will get the trophy in Melbourne?

Time for Serena to end her Slam drought?

Serena Williams has been dominating women’s tennis for more than a decade. But the main question is: will she be able to claim her 24th Grand Slam title? The American ace has been stuck on 23 for the last three years since winning her last Slam at the Australian Open back in 2017. It is worth remembering that she did that when she was two months pregnant with her daughter Alexis Olympia. 

Williams is keen to equal Margaret Court’s record of 24 Slams. She has a fantastic power capable of blowing away her opponents, and perhaps the most surprising thing is that she has lost her last four Grand Slam finals without being able to win a single set. She is currently the 11/2 favourite to triumph in Melbourne. She has the record for most titles won by a woman in Melbourne (seven) and surely the surface is more suitable to her game than the US Open. 

Can Andreescu follow up her Flushing Meadows triumph?

Bianca Andreescu has been fantastic in the last season. The Canadian has improved massively, and in addition to winning titles at Indian Wells Masters and the Canadian Open, she has also secured her first Grand Slam at the US Open in September. As a result, she has reached the career-high rankings of four. 

Andreescu is only 19 and has great perspective with many that are tipping her as the future world number one. On the court, she is a warrior and can be able to mix up from the baseline and still have soft hands at the net. With her versatility, is a difficult client for anyone. One of the main reasons she has exploded on the WTA Tour is that she has built up her fitness. At the moment she can be backed at 7/1 and surely one to keep your eyes on in Melbourne. 

Barty To Shine In Melbourne?

It has been a fantastic 2019 for Ash Barty. After winning her first Grand Slam at the French Open, she has got right to the top of the WTA ranking and ended the year with a win at the WTA Finals. The Australian is heading for the ‘home’ Grand Slam with fantastic momentum. So far her best result at the Australian Open has been a quarter-final appearance and, on the back of the last year’s results, she will be determined to do much better this time. At the moment, she is 8/1 to go all the way Down Under. It will be interesting to see how she cope with the pressure of playing at home. Australia hasn’t had a homegrown Open champion since 1978 (Chris O’Neill) so all eyes will be on her. 

Is Pliskova capable of going a step further?

Karolina Pliskova is one of the most dangerous players on the circuit and has ended the last season with a 52-17 record. The Czech has a great serve and has been able to reach two Grand Slam semi-finals. Last year, she won 4 WTA titles, and she will be focused to start the new campaign in the best possible way. 

If you are looking for a slight outsider, she could fit the bill at 12/1. A lot will depend on how the draw will be for the world number two. She will be keen to get revenge against Barty who has defeated her in three sets in the semi-finals of the recent WTA Finals. 

First Verdict: Back Ash Barty to Win Australian Open

A £20 Bet On The Selection Above Returns:

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bet365 new£180Bet Here
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Betfair New£175Bet Here
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Coral£177Bet Here

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