The ATP Tour season is starting today in Doha where several players will try to build up some form ahead of the Australian Open. Our tennis betting experts have reviewed this intriguing tournament, and have provided their view on who to back. Below you will find a full analysis of the tournament, best odds and the best tennis tips.
ATP Qatar Open Betting Tips: Outright Tips
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No Top Ten players will be in Doha this year
Apart from the ATP Cup that started on Friday, this is the first tournament that is not round-robin or team-based. With some many players involved in that event, there is only one main tour event this week, and it is the ATP 250 level in Doha. The tournament is played on hard court.
If we look at the list of the past winners of the last decade, we can see some familiar names with the likes of Roger Federer (2011), Rafael Nadal (2014) and Novak Djokovic (2016 and 2017). Apart from those big names, all the other players that won this tournament were borderline top ten players. Apart from Andrey Rublev in 2018, this has also be the case for several runners-up.
This year the field is significantly weaker and this because lots of players have opted for the ATC Cup to get in shape for the Australian Open. The top seed is Stan Wawrinka who is the 15th in the world and he is also the only top 20 player in the tournament this season.
Conditions around medium-paced
The tournament is starting at 12:30 UK time on Monday, and if we look at historical data we can see that conditions are normally slightly below medium-paced for hard court. The aces and game count and service points are just below the ATP hard court. Generally, the venue as a whole should be like an average hard court.
No big market favourite
Considering what we have said before, it is not surprising to see that there aren’t overwhelming market favourites to win this tournament. Bookmakers have struggled to separate the likes of Wawrinka (4/1) and Rublev (9/2). Moving down in the market we can see that Milos Raonic and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga are marginally bigger at 11/2 and 6/1. The rest of the field can be backed at around 20/1 or bigger.
Top Betting Offers To Take Advantage Of In The ATP Qatar Open
Milos Raonic has had too many injuries to be trusted
Milos Raonic looks interesting on paper, but he has been plagued with injury in the last two years, and we do not trust the Canadian to have what it takes to go all the way here. Better is to look for potential each-way value in the bottom part of the draw who will avoid Raonic until the final and the seeded players like Tsonga and Rublev.
Kecmanovic is an each-way value
Tsonga’s potential quarter looks rather tricky as he would probably take on Tiafoe, Marton Fucsovics, Jordan Thompson and Miomir Kecmanovic. It is the latter that does attract our attention for a long-shot bet in the starting ATP Tour event of the season.
Kecmanovic was the semi-finalist of the Next Gen ATP event in Milan at the end of the year. He has had a very positive breakthrough season in the main tour, even if he didn’t quite reach his full potentials after an impressive 2018 in the Challengers. He has still been able to secure the quarter-finals of a Master 1000 event at Indian Wells and also the final in Antalya on the grass. In Cincinnati, he has also obtained his first top ten win against Alexandar Zverev.
Kecmanovic is one of the best players on the hard court that will be in Doha. Even if he has been inconsistent in the last six months, he has still recorded good numbers across all the different surfaces. He is available at 25/1, and surely this is a generous price for an each-way bet given the circumstances.
First Verdict: Kecmanovic to win ATP Qatar (Each-Way)
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