Arsenal vs Burnley Predictions

Arsenal vs Burnley predictions for Saturday’s Premier League clash at the Emirates Stadium. The Emirates Stadium will be the backdrop for a Manchester City gathering when Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal faces off against Vincent Kompany’s Burnley in Saturday’s Premier League clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Arsenal
Match Live Saturday, 11th November at 3:00 pm In:
DAYS
Hr
Min
Sec

Arsenal vs Burnley Predictions

[wptb id="394003" not found ]

A Tactical Confrontation: Arsenal and Burnley’s Battle for Redemption at the Emirates

Key Stats
– Arsenal’s Formidable Fortress: The Gunners have secured clean sheets in a majority of their recent home games, highlighting a defensive solidity that makes a 2-0 correct score prediction for Arsenal a strong possibility.
– Saka’s Scoring Streak: Bukayo Saka has been directly involved in a significant percentage of Arsenal’s goals this season, positioning him as a prime candidate to find the net against Burnley.
– Corner Count Clash: Arsenal averages upwards of 8 corners per match at the Emirates, while Burnley’s games see around 6 corners, indicating a match total that’s likely to exceed 10 corners as both teams press offensively.

As the Emirates Stadium prepares to host the clash between Arsenal and Burnley, a narrative woven from past connections and a quest for redemption is set to unfold. Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal and Vincent Kompany’s Burnley, both seeking to rectify last weekend’s stumbles, approach this fixture with much to prove.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

BEST VALUE BET

£20 Returns £70

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
In the Premier League encounter at the Emirates Stadium, where Arsenal are set to clash with Burnley, the spotlight turns towards Declan Rice’s potential impact on the game. Presenting a compelling case for value betting, Rice’s Over 0.5 Shots on Target at odds of 9/4 — a boosted offering from the initial 2/1 — emerges as a standout selection. This enhancement by Bet365 adds to the bet’s allure (odds subject to change, T&C’s apply).

Rice has been a consistent performer for his side, maintaining a solid BettingTips4You Expert Rating, which reflects his influence on the pitch. With an average of 1.1 shots per game and precisely 0.5 on target per match, Rice’s statistical likelihood of testing the opposition goalkeeper at least once is strong. Given that Arsenal’s recent performances have shown vulnerabilities, and with several key players potentially sidelined due to injury, spaces may open up in midfield for Rice to exploit.

Moreover, Burnley’s previous games revealed defensive cracks that a player of Rice’s calibre can take advantage of, especially from mid-range where he has already proven capable with a goal from outside the box this season. With Arsenal’s focus potentially on managing an injury-hit squad and maintaining their formidable record against newly-promoted teams, Rice’s propensity to venture forward and take his chances from distance could very well translate into tangible shots on target, making the bet for him to have Over 0.5 Shots on Target a valuable proposition.

Arsenal’s Resilience Amidst Adversity

Arsenal’s season has been marked by a juxtaposition of formidable home performances against a susceptibility to refereeing oversights. This vulnerability was palpable in their recent encounters, where contentious decisions and an ending unbeaten streak have been central themes. Despite these setbacks, Arsenal’s response has been noteworthy; a dominant Champions League display against Sevilla showcased their tenacity, particularly with Bukayo Saka’s commendable resilience in the face of persistent fouling.

The England winger’s contributions, coupled with Arsenal’s impressive three-game winning streak at home, bode well for their ability to maintain a strong defensive fortitude, evident in the achievement of three consecutive clean sheets.

Parimatch


18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply, see below. | begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly. #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

Burnley’s Quest for Consistency

Burnley’s current narrative is less favorable, marred by a record-setting series of home defeats. Kompany’s vision for an aggressive, attacking style is yet to materialise effectively, as highlighted by a paltry offensive output and recent losses. Yet, there is a glimmer of hope in their away form, which has seen Burnley glean all their points from such fixtures this season. Kompany’s tactical acumen will be tested as he considers bolstering the midfield to counter Arsenal’s attacking prowess.

Strategic Insight and Potential Outcomes

The match presents a range of intriguing tactical battles. Arsenal’s offensive capabilities, showcasing an average of 2.1 goals per game, are set to test Burnley’s porous defence, which has conceded 27 goals in 11 matches. Key player duels, such as Arsenal’s wing play against Burnley’s full-backs, could significantly influence the match’s dynamics. Moreover, Arsenal’s midfield will have to contend with the possible return of Burnley’s Josh Cullen, whose presence could recalibrate the visitors’ structure and resilience.

Tactical Analysis: Deciding Factors and Key Battles

The contest may well be decided in the wide areas, with Arsenal’s wingers poised to exploit Burnley’s defensive flanks. The midfield battle, especially the duel between Declan Rice and Josh Cullen, could pivot the game’s tempo and control in favour of either side.

Opinions on Team Strategies and Management

Arsenal’s blend of fluid attacking football has proven effective, yet their propensity for defensive lapses and underwhelming reactions to officiating decisions can be deemed as Achilles’ heels. Conversely, Burnley’s overly cautious approach and inability to convert chances could be their undoing against a side of Arsenal’s calibre.

In terms of management, Arteta’s adaptability and proactive tactics contrast with Kompany’s idealistic but arguably naïve strategy. Criticism falls on Kompany for his team’s lacklustre attacking record, suggesting a need for a more pragmatic and result-oriented approach.

Concluding Thoughts on Expected Goals Averages

Arsenal’s expected goals average underscores their threat in the final third, complemented by a robust defensive record. Burnley’s lower expected goals tally indicates a more challenging road ahead to secure favourable outcomes.

Crafting the Narrative of the Game

Ultimately, the match is expected to unfold with Arsenal asserting dominance in possession and creating chances through intricate passing and dynamic wing play. Burnley may seek to disrupt this rhythm through physicality in midfield and a reliance on swift counter-attacks. The emotional undertone of the game, driven by both teams’ desire for redemption, adds an extra layer to what promises to be a compelling narrative of Premier League football.

Expert Predictions and In-depth Analysis

Market Prediction: The market’s leaning is inclined towards an Arsenal victory, taking into account the Gunners’ robust form at the Emirates. Odds are likely shortened on the home win, reflecting the confidence in Arteta’s men to deliver. However, the market isn’t dismissing Burnley outright. The Clarets have demonstrated a knack for upending expectations, particularly away from home. The odds might offer a sliver of generosity towards a draw or an unlikely Burnley upset, considering their motivation to climb away from the relegation mire and their previous escapades at the Emirates where they’ve snatched points against the odds. My suggestion however is to back Arsenal to win with a goal handicap (-1).

Correct Score Prediction: Arsenal’s offensive vigour coupled with their home form suggests a game that may not see Burnley breach their backline. A 2-0 outcome seems a plausible result, marrying Arsenal’s goal frequency with their tendency to shut out opponents at the Emirates. This scoreline aligns with statistical precedence and formidability in defence, considering Arsenal have notched up clean sheets in their recent home stands. Burnley’s offensive woes, having not been prolific in front of goal, further support this prediction, making a two-goal margin in Arsenal’s favour a credible prospect for the final score.

Goalscorer Prediction: Bukayo Saka stands out as a likely candidate to be on the scoresheet. Despite a recent injury concern, he has been a catalyst for Arsenal’s offensive enterprises. His propensity to score and his consistent involvement in goal creation enhance his prospects of being a key protagonist for the Gunners. Saka’s pace and ingenuity on the wing, coupled with his proficiency in front of goal, underpin his potential to score, making him a prime contender for anytime goalscorer markets. His directness and link-up play could indeed unravel a Burnley defence that has been susceptible this season.

Corner Prediction: Arsenal’s game model, which involves a considerable amount of wing play and crosses, tends to generate a high number of corners. With an average upwards of 8 corners per match, they’re likely to tip the scales in this department. Burnley, on the other hand, averages around 6 corners per fixture. This disparity suggests that Arsenal will have more corners, but the combined tally is expected to surpass 10, given both teams’ tendencies to push forward and the potential for deflections and clearances from sustained attacks. It wouldn’t be surprising to see a high corner count, reflecting an encounter with several offensive phases.

[wptb id="394003" not found ]

Top UK Bookies & Best Sign Up Offers 

-

18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Debit Card / Apple Pay payments only. #AD T&C’s Apply. 18+ | BeGambleAware | #Ad |. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

-

Open Account Offer – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365.

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and  T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

-

#AD 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit Unibet.co.uk for full T&C's.

-

New customers only, 18+. Min deposit £10. Place a £50 bet on any sport at 2.0+ to qualify for £25 in free bets and 10 Free Spins. Free Bets and Spins valid 7 days. £0.10 Free Spins. T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly.

-

New customers only. Register (excl. 13/04/24) with WELCOME50. First bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get Free Bets: £20 In-Play, £20 Acca & 50 x £0.20 (£10) Free Spins on Fishin’ Frenzy within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

-

18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply | begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly

Subscribe To Our Newsletter For Exclusive Tips

Want to have exclusive tips from experts tipsters delivered right into your inbox? Subscribe Now To Our Newsletter. We will never spam, we fully respect your privacy!

Previous articleManchester United vs Luton Predictions
Next articleSunderland vs Birmingham Predictions
Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.