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Liverpool are not merely going through a sticky spell; they are unravelling in slow motion under Arne Slot. This is the defending Premier League champions we are talking about, a side who were relentless across competitions last season, now reduced to mid-table drift and Champions League anxiety.
Across their last 12 competitive fixtures, Liverpool have been defeated in nine. That run is being talked about as their worst sequence in over seven decades – this is not a minor wobble, it is historical collapse territory. They currently sit 12th in the league, 11 points behind leaders Arsenal, and any serious title defence is already dead in late November. For a club with Liverpool’s expectations and recent pedigree, that is completely unacceptable.
Next Premier League Manager To Leave Predictions
A champions’ collapse that cannot be dressed up as “transition”
- Liverpool are in such a deep rut under Arne Slot that clinging to “stability” now looks more like denial than long-term planning.
- The numbers, the performances and the mood around Anfield all point towards one outcome: this regime is drifting, not rebuilding.
- In my view, the value – both in football terms and in the betting markets – lies in backing the harsh call that Liverpool’s hierarchy seem reluctant to make.
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Liverpool have lost nine of their last 12 games, sit 12th in the league and have squandered a £446m spend while being humiliated by PSV and Nottingham Forest at Anfield. With Xabi Alonso and Jürgen Klopp looming in the market, Slot’s position looks unsustainable. At 7/4, he is value to be next out.
What makes it even more damning is the financial context. Around £446m has been splashed in the summer, surpassing even Chelsea’s infamous 2023 spree. Liverpool have broken the British transfer record twice and yet somehow look less balanced, less aggressive and less coherent than the side that cost a fraction of this squad. If you set that level of spending against a nine-defeats-in-12 run and a mid-table league position, it screams managerial failure rather than “teething problems”.
This is why I believe the debate about whether Slot should survive until January is already out of date. The evidence is on the pitch – and it is grim.
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The PSV humiliation: Anfield aura shredded
The 4-1 defeat to PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League did not arrive out of the blue; it was the logical next step for a team that are tactically confused and mentally fragile. Anfield, once the place where opponents were suffocated, has become a venue where visiting sides actually grow in confidence as the game goes on.
From a tactical standpoint, Liverpool resembled a side caught between identities. Slot wants a high-tempo, front-foot style, but the spacing was chaotic and the pressing triggers were nowhere to be seen. PSV repeatedly flooded the half-spaces, dragging Liverpool’s back line all over the place and exploiting huge gaps between midfield and defence.
Without Alisson Becker, Liverpool lose that sense of security behind a high line, but that should have led to a more compact approach, not a kamikaze one. Instead, the back four were exposed over and over again, with transitions against them looking like training-ground drills for PSV rather than Champions League football.
In terms of standout individuals, it says a lot that much of the focus fell on Liverpool’s own stars – and not in a positive way. Mohamed Salah, normally the talisman who drags the side up a level, has been accused of a “disgraceful” moment during this European humiliation and his body language has mirrored the general malaise. Ryan Gravenberch has admitted publicly that there is anger within the dressing room, which underlines how fractured the environment feels. Alexander Isak was left out, a decision that underlined how unsettled the attacking hierarchy has become under Slot, while Florian Wirtz’s fitness concerns further stripped Liverpool of creative spark.
For PSV, the collective rather than individuals stood out. Their forward line pressed with organisation, their midfield controlled tempo, and their defensive shape made Liverpool’s possession sterile. The most telling tactical moment came whenever Liverpool lost the ball high; PSV’s breakaways were so clean that you could see the fear in the home side’s retreat. That is the exact opposite of what Anfield has symbolised in recent years.
Historically, this kind of European collapse at home would have been a line in the sand for Liverpool’s hierarchy. Under Jürgen Klopp, Anfield was where seasons were revived, not where they went to die. That contrast is why this defeat feels so significant in the Slot story.
Nottingham Forest and the domestic reality check
The 3-0 loss at home to Nottingham Forest days earlier was arguably even more alarming. Forest are described as “lowly” for a reason; Liverpool should not just beat them, they should dominate them. Instead, Liverpool were outfought and out-thought.
Again, the pattern was familiar: sluggish pressing, slow ball circulation, vulnerable transitions and an inability to adjust in-game. When you see the same structural issues against Forest in the league and PSV in Europe, it is almost impossible to blame luck or individual errors alone. This is systematic.
Some will argue that injuries and squad churn play a part. Of course they do. But part of a top coach’s job is to adapt shape and approach to the players available. Slot’s response has been worryingly rigid: the same ideas, the same spacing, the same vulnerabilities, regardless of opponent or context.
£446m spent and no clear idea
From an E-E-A-T perspective, this is where Slot really loses me. If you spend close to half a billion pounds in one window, supporters and analysts are entitled to ask: what exactly is the plan?
We have seen Liverpool add high-profile talent, from creative threats like Wirtz to attacking options such as Isak, while still trying to integrate existing leaders like Salah and Trent Alexander-Arnold. On paper, that should give Slot tactical flexibility. Instead, it has exposed his limitations.
The squad construction suggests a side who could switch between controlled possession and fast transitions, with Trent stepping into midfield, Salah providing end product, Wirtz offering line-breaking guile and Isak stretching defences. In practice, Liverpool look like a group of expensive individuals being asked to improvise.
The most worrying element, tactically, is how easy it has become to attack Liverpool in wide transition areas. The full-backs push high, the midfield cover is inconsistent and the centre-backs are regularly left racing backwards into big spaces. With Alisson missing, that becomes fatal.
For me, this is not simply bad form – it is an indictment of Slot’s ability to build a robust structure around elite players. When you invest that amount of money and end up with your worst run in 71 years, you cannot just shrug and ask for more time.
Dressing room mood and the illusion of safety
Slot has spoken about feeling “safe” in his job and insists he still senses backing from above. He says his focus is on improving performances rather than protecting his position. That might sound admirable on the surface, but I think it misreads the gravity of the situation.
When your team have been beaten in nine of 12, when a Champions League home game turns into a humiliation, and when you have slid to 12th in the league, feeling secure is not a positive; it risks looking detached. Players read those comments. Supporters read them. At some point, the manager has to acknowledge that the current level is nowhere near acceptable for Liverpool.
There are already murmurs about dressing-room unrest. Gravenberch’s admission that there is anger within the group matters. Criticism of Salah’s behaviour during the PSV debacle matters. When senior players are questioned, and the coach is being criticised for selection calls, substitutions and transfer usage, it usually means the internal trust is fraying.
If Liverpool delay a decision until January “to be fair” to Slot, they are effectively prioritising sentiment over standards. That is the controversial part of this debate, but I strongly believe it: keeping him in post for the sake of optics would be negligence.
The market speaks: 7/4 on Slot to be next manager to leave
Now to the betting angle, where things get very interesting.
Slot is around 1/2 with some firms to still be in charge on 1 January, which implies that bookmakers believe the board will give him more time despite the crisis. At the same time, his price to be the next Premier League manager to lose his job has shortened sharply to 7/4 after the PSV debacle and the Forest loss. He is behind only Leeds boss Daniel Farke in that market.
That shift tells you two things:
- The broader football world can see how deep Liverpool’s problems are.
- Bookmakers are hedging against the possibility that one more bad result – starting with the trip to West Ham or the looming clash with Arsenal – could force the board’s hand.
From a value perspective, I think 7/4 is appealing. Liverpool are not battling relegation like some clubs, but the expectations are radically different. A defending champion sitting 12th, hemorrhaging results, with a massive spending spree behind them, is far more likely to trigger decisive action than a survival scrap where the manager is overperforming limited resources.
In sack-race terms, Slot is a high-profile, high-pressure candidate in a situation that looks unsustainable.
Replacement options: the shadow of Xabi Alonso and the Klopp question
The next-manager market reinforces how precarious Slot’s position is.
Xabi Alonso is now trading as favourite to become the next Liverpool manager, around 5/2 in places. He is currently in charge of Real Madrid, who are leading La Liga and sitting prominently in the Champions League standings, but he has already come under scrutiny in Spain for big defeats. The idea of him returning to Anfield feels romantic and, crucially, increasingly realistic given how often the link is being made.
Klopp, despite stepping away and taking on a different role within the game, is still being priced around 3/1 by some. He has openly said that if he ever managed in England again, it would be Liverpool. Even if a return remains unlikely in the short term, the mere existence of that possibility piles pressure on Slot – supporters can see a fairy-tale option in the distance.
Behind those two, Oliver Glasner and Andoni Iraola are prominent in the odds, both coaches admired for modern, structured football. Steven Gerrard sits a little further back, his legend status always making him part of any conversation about the Anfield dugout.
The point is simple: the market is telling us that Liverpool have options, and that those options are being discussed seriously enough for prices to move quickly. That doesn’t happen around a manager whose job is truly secure.
Our Take: Liverpool need to be ruthless – and the bet lines up with the reality
Here is where I land, and I admit it is a hard line: Arne Slot should be removed now, not in January, and I strongly fancy him to be the next Premier League manager to go.
The performance data, the eye test and the context are all damning. Nine defeats in 12 games for a reigning champion is a sackable run almost anywhere in European football. A 4-1 home hammering by PSV in the Champions League, on the back of a 3-0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest, would have been unthinkable at Anfield a few years ago. Add in the £446m outlay, the collapsing league campaign, the visible frustration of players like Gravenberch and the public criticism of someone as important as Salah, and the picture becomes even darker.
What troubles me most is the lack of tactical progression. Slot has had enough time and enough backing to build a recognisable blueprint. Instead, Liverpool are drifting between ideas, neither pressing with conviction nor controlling games with the ball. The defensive structure is a mess, the attacking patterns are disjointed and key signings are either injured, misused or on the bench.
So yes, I think Liverpool’s board are trying to buy time – Sunday’s trip to West Ham suddenly looks “must-win”, and the January meeting with Arsenal is being discussed as some kind of milestone. But elite clubs do not need arbitrary deadlines to make obvious decisions. They react when the evidence demands it.
From a betting standpoint, that disconnect between perception and reality is exactly where you want to be. The club publicly backs the manager, the manager talks about feeling safe, yet the performances keep deteriorating and the markets keep cutting his price to be sacked. For me, that makes 7/4 on him being the next Premier League manager to leave a very live play.
Prediction and betting verdict
Putting it all together, my prediction is straightforward:
Liverpool’s hierarchy will reach breaking point before we get too deep into the new year, and Arne Slot will be the next Premier League manager to lose his job. The combination of dreadful form, shattered confidence, huge investment and credible alternatives – especially Alonso sitting at the front of the queue – makes his position almost untenable.
Suggested bet: Back Arne Slot to be the Next Premier League Manager To Leave at 7/4.
Given the scale of Liverpool’s decline and the increasingly toxic mood around Anfield, I expect more pressure to follow quickly, and I would rather be on that 7/4 now than watching it shorten again after the next setback.
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