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Accumulator tips for Sunday evening: here’s a confident four-fold for Sunday, built from Europe’s headline fixtures, with each leg delivered by one of our experts. The selections lean on form lines, absences, tactical patterns and repeatable data points, aiming to balance value and probability for an acca that feels sensible rather than speculative.
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Why this pick
Inter are dominant at San Siro and boast scoring threats across the pitch. Lazio’s recent solidity is tempered by fitness doubts and suspensions, reducing their attacking ceiling. With Calhanoglu’s set-piece supply and Martinez’s movement, the hosts hold the territory and chance quality edge. Home advantage leans this towards a Nerazzurri win.
Why this pick
Lyon are vibrant at Groupama and tend to trade chances, while PSG travel well and create volume even when short-handed. The hosts have scored in every home game, and meetings with PSG consistently produce chances at both ends. Tempo, transition opportunities and set-piece quality point to a goal-heavy contest.
Why this pick
Braga’s head-to-head dominance over Moreirense is pronounced, and their attacking pieces are in rhythm. The visitors’ suspension at centre-back disrupts defensive cohesion, while Braga’s home control should tilt shot count and territory decisively. With Zalazar and Navarro in form, expect the Archbishops to convert pressure into three points.
Why this pick
Celta are in a resilient spell and create enough to test visitors, while Barcelona’s attack remains dangerous despite injuries. The Catalans’ back line has offered opponents opportunities, and recent head-to-heads in Vigo trend towards goals both ways. Expect an open feel with chances for each side to land.
Form-led fourfold for Sunday: Inter’s home edge, a goal-friendly Lyon-PSG, Braga’s H2H strength and BTTS in Vigo. The blend targets reliable patterns across Europe to maximise win probability at a sensible price.
Today’s Experts Accumulator Tip
Celta Vigo vs Barcelona
Rationale:
Celta arrive with momentum and resilience, having gone eight unbeaten across all competitions and drawing heavily in La Liga, which speaks to their organisation out of possession and patience in transition. Claudio Giraldez’s men have been difficult to put away (just two league defeats), and they will fancy their chances of unsettling a Barcelona defence that have creaked far too often. Hansi Flick’s side are irresistible going forward but keep offering the opposition routes back into matches: they have conceded 13 in 11 league games and were involved in a 3-3 midweek thriller in Europe.
The team news reinforces the angle. Barcelona are missing Gavi, Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Raphinha and Pedri, with Eric Garcia also expected to sit out, which hinders control and defensive stability. Even if Pau Cubarsi restores some calm, Celta’s confidence, plus attacking options like Borja Iglesias and Jutgla, should test them. The recent head-to-heads in Vigo have been lively, with scoring on both sides a frequent theme.
Best bet – Both teams to score
Inter Milan vs Lazio
Rationale:
Inter have surged since early-season blips, winning six of their last seven league matches and sharing the goals widely (11 different scorers), which underlines how Cristian Chivu’s structure creates multiple threats beyond Lautaro Martinez. They have been especially reliable at San Siro against Lazio in Serie A, avoiding defeat in their last six home league meetings, and they continue to produce at least two goals regularly in Europe. Selection-wise, Chivu can restore Alessandro Bastoni, Francesco Acerbi and Hakan Calhanoglu, the latter delivering from set pieces and from range.
On the other side, Lazio’s revival is real—six unbeaten domestically and four consecutive clean sheets—yet it has been built on pragmatism amid absences and doubts, notably Alessio Romagnoli’s fitness and bans elsewhere. That tightened shape might limit chaos but also blunts their attacking ceiling. With Marcus Thuram back to boost Inter’s forward line and only veteran depth missing, the hosts are better balanced. Inter’s floor is higher, and their home pattern against these opponents is tough to ignore.
Best bet – Inter Milan to win
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Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain
Rationale:
This has the profile of a fast, stretched game. PSG lost their perfect European record but still travel superbly in Ligue 1, holding the division’s best away return. They do, however, arrive short-handed: Achraf Hakimi and Ousmane Dembele are out, with Desire Doue and Nuno Mendes also unavailable, which shifts creative burden onto the midfield triangle of Joao Neves, Vitinha and Fabian Ruiz and places greater onus on wide forwards such as Bradley Barcola and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to break lines.
Lyon’s home form is a clear tailwind—six wins from seven at Groupama across all competitions—with attacking fluency even when personnel have rotated due to suspensions for Abner and Hans Hateboer. Paulo Fonseca’s side have scored in each home game and in their last six meetings with PSG, which historically drags this fixture towards goals. While PSG remain favourites thanks to their depth and late-game solutions (see Goncalo Ramos’s knack for decisive moments), the more robust angle sits with game state rather than match-winner.
Best bet – Over 2.5 goals
Braga vs Moreirense
Rationale:
Braga have wobbled across two competitions, but the underlying pattern is instructive: when they are at their best domestically, they pair strong chance creation with clean-sheet discipline. At the same time, the Archbishops’ head-to-head supremacy here is overwhelming—ten straight league wins against Moreirense, including last season’s double. Recent defeats came against high-calibre opponents or from chaotic game states, yet there were bright spots in midweek: Rodrigo Zalazar’s brace and Fran Navarro’s goal underscore that Carlos Vicens can lean on in-form finishers. The team news helps, too.
Moreirense lose centre-back Marcelo to suspension, so Gilberto Batista likely steps in, potentially disrupting the visitors’ defensive cohesion. Vasco Botelho da Costa’s side are direct and positive (six league wins, no draws), but their ‘all-or-nothing’ approach leaves space to exploit, and they have not chained back-to-back away victories since last May. With Vitor Carvalho still out for Braga but the key attacking pieces ready, the hosts should impose themselves and tilt the shot count decisively.
Best bet – Braga to win
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