Home Betting News Abu Dhabi Championship Betting: Branden To Deliver a Double?

Abu Dhabi Championship Betting: Branden To Deliver a Double?

Abu Dhabi Championship

The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship is one of the most important events of the European Tour. This will be the opening Rolex Series event of the 2020 calendar and will be hosted in Abu Dhabi. It is the first one of three lucrative European Tour events in the Persian Gulf.

This golf tournament has a very strong field, and this week we have World No 1 Brooks Koepka featuring together with last year’s Open winner Shane Lowry who is also the defending champion. This will be the 15th time that the Abu Dhabi Golf Club will host this event, that will see eight of the world’s top 25 ready to challenge for the Thursday’s opening round. This is hardly surprising with a total prize fund of $7m on offer. The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship is just one of the eight tournaments in the golf calendar that has the Rolex Series status.

Below you will find our golf betting tips for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship made by our top experts together with the best odds and betting offers from top bookmakers.

2020 Abu Dhabi Championship Betting

2020 Abu Dhabi Championship Betting Tips | Thursday 16th-19th, January 2020

What does it take to win the Abu Dhabi Championship?

Looking at the stats, we can see that Chris DiMarco and Rickie Fowler both have won here. Dustin Johnson contended two years ago while Phil Mickelson landed glory in 2014. Immediately we can see that the Americans have to be respected here. We cannot underestimate though that 12 of the 14 winners to date have been European and some even been a big price.

Lowry was as high as 100/1 a year ago, Fleetwood was 33/1 two years ago and Rickie Fowler when off at 20/1 when winning four years ago. All the four winners before him were massive outsiders. Stal, for instance, was 310/1 before the start of the 2015 edition and we had triple-figure prices for the likes of Pablo Larrazabal, Jamie Donaldson and Robert Rock.

Top Betting Offers To Take Advantage Of In The Abu Dhabi Championship

Who are the Market Leaders this week?

It is clear that bookmakers are struggling to split Tommy Fleetwood and Patrick Cantlay, but we do have a preference for the former. Fleetwood hasn’t been in action since he was narrowly defeated by Jon Rahm in Dubai back in November. Only a week after he won the Nedbank Challenge and it is difficult to know how close he is now to that brilliant form, even if he loves this venue. The Englishman was 42nd a year ago, but that is normal if you consider the contest that he was trying to win it for the third time in a row. 

Cantlay has to be more ruthless

Patrick Cantlay is a great golfer, and he is now the number six in the Official World Rankings. He comes to Dubai with some recent form having finished in fourth place at the Sentry Tournament of Champions a couple of weeks ago in Hawaii. The 27-year-old has a great class but have to be more ruthless when it counts. Despite his significant improvements in the rankings, he has only won two professional events which are the 2018 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open and the Memorial Tournament in 2018. Considering those stats, we are not too impressed by the short odds we will be getting to back him this week.

Koepka has won more major than non-major 

World Number one Brooks Koepka is back after a three months absence after his withdrawal at the CJ Cup due to knee problems. It is very difficult to gauge how competitive Brooks is going to be. Another stat is concerning about him: he has won more majors (four) than non-majors (three). He seems to be struggling to focus unless on the biggest stage. His course form is nothing to be impressed either as he missed the cut on debut in 2015 and ended 9th a year ago. At this short price, we are not interested. 

Louis Oosthuizen did what he could to defend his title in the South African Open last week. He was leading with just a round to go, but Branden Grace was just too much for him on Sunday. Shame but again that was another missed opportunity for him, and he is having too many for our liking. At 16/1 looks capable of placing but again we are not thrilled. 

Branden Grace can deliver another pearl

Can Branden Grace win another tournament? Backing someone to win back-to-back is always tricky and, generally, is not advisable in golf. There are exceptions tough, and we believe this is one of those cases. Looking at Grace past, we can see that he has nearly always played very well immediately after a success. He is capable of holding his form once he has found it. 

After his first-ever win on the Sunshine Tour in 2010, he was 21st in the following tournament but his second and third victories were back-to-back wins. In 2012 he won the Joburg Open and the Volvo Golf Champions immediately after. He also won the Vodacom Origins Finals, and the Alfred Dunhill Links the following week at the end of the year. 

After that, he didn’t win for more than two years, but clearly, when he is in form, it does last. After winning the Alfred Dunhill Championship in December 2014, he finished 15th in the South African Open in January and 20th in this tournament. He went on to win the Qatar Masters towards the end of January, and in March he also landed the Dimension Data in South Africa. He has also managed to get a ninth place at the Texas Open only a week after winning his only PGA Tour title at the Heritage in 2016. 

This will be the ninth time that Grace has been in this tournament, and clearly it is important for him. He hasn’t been exceptional here yet his form figures are decent with MC-5-52-20-5-13-15-27. his only main problem last week was his driving accuracy, but stats tell us it won’t be amain problem here so at 28/1 looks a solid bet for this week. 

Our Verdict: Branden Grace To Win The Abu Dhabi Championship

A £10 Bet On The Selection Above Returns:

BookieReturnBet Here
bet365 new£290Bet Here
BookieReturnBet Here
BetVictor£287Bet Here
BookieReturnBet Here
Betfair New£282Bet Here
BookieReturnBet Here
Coral£284Bet Here

* (Ad) ‘Please note that some bookmakers odds and brands are advertised in this article’. Odds correct at the time of writing (see full timestamp at the top of the page below article title). Odds subject to move. 18+, Please Gamble Responsibly

Sullivan is a solid each-way bet

The other selection for this tournament is Andy Sullivan. Last week he did exceptionally well if we do exclude the end of the front nine on Sunday. He is capable of pushing Grace all the way here as well and looks a valuable each-way bet at 100/1.

Our Verdict: Andy Sullivan To Win The Dubai Championship (Each-Way)

A £20 Bet On The Selection Above Returns:

BookieReturnBet Here
bet365 new£1,010Bet Here
BookieReturnBet Here
BetVictor£1,000Bet Here
BookieReturnBet Here
Betfair New£1,010Bet Here
BookieReturnBet Here
Coral£1,000Bet Here

* (Ad) ‘Please note that some bookmakers odds and brands are advertised in this article’. Odds correct at the time of writing (see full timestamp at the top of the page below article title). Odds subject to move. 18+, Please Gamble Responsibly

Course Information

This course was opened 22 years ago and has been designed by Peter Harradine. Since then, the course has had several chances, especially around the greens. Lots of this work has been done to make more challenging pin positions on what is a rather flat course.

The putting surfaces in Abu Dhabi are some of the fastest on Tour and the water feature is on 10 holes. As you would expect, there are plenty of sand and dog-legs and also the fairways are slightly narrower compared with the Tour average. Big hitters have done well here.

Looking at the past records, the Abu Dhabi championship has often seen close finishes. Even though there has never been a play-off, the winning margin in 11 of the past 14 renewals has been a single stroke.